DOTUSD Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last Month: 2026-01-15 to present • 35 trades in period
Data Transparency (Last Month)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Month)
Trade Statistics (Last Month)
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
💸 Capital Refund History
When capital drops below $100, the simulation automatically refunds to $10,000 and continues. This ensures continuous data collection even for strategies that experience significant losses.
| # | Date | Capital Before | Trades Before | Era Fees Paid | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 21, 2025 | $99.18 | 568 | $6,916.81 | CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED |
⚠️ Note: This simulation has been refunded 1 time. Total capital invested: $20,000. The return percentage accounts for all refunds.
📚 Strategy Crash History — Learning from Failures
Each "era" below represents a period where the strategy ran until it crashed (capital < $100). Study these to understand how this strategy can fail and what market conditions caused the losses.
📖 Learning Tip: Look for patterns in the crash history. Did the strategy fail during high volatility? Extended trends? Specific market conditions? Understanding how strategies die helps you know when NOT to use them in real trading.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DOTUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
Trade History (Last Month - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $4,315.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 12:30pm ET | $2.24 | 1,945 | $4,350.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:35pm ET | $2.16 | 1,945 | $4,200.88 | $4,179.50 |
$-171.13 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:40pm ET | $2.16 | 1,933 | $4,179.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:45pm ET | $2.10 | 1,933 | $4,053.84 | $4,033.26 |
$-146.24 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:55pm ET | $2.11 | 1,911 | $4,033.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 17, 2026 5:15am ET | $2.22 | 1,911 | $4,247.24 | $4,226.54 |
+$193.28 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 17, 2026 6:30am ET | $2.20 | 1,922 | $4,226.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 18, 2026 6:25pm ET | $2.12 | 1,922 | $4,080.47 | $4,059.70 |
$-166.84 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 18, 2026 6:30pm ET | $2.12 | 1,914 | $4,059.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 18, 2026 7:00pm ET | $1.98 | 1,914 | $3,781.59 | $3,761.99 |
$-297.71 (-6.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 18, 2026 7:05pm ET | $1.96 | 1,916 | $3,761.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 12:35pm ET | $1.90 | 1,916 | $3,648.72 | $3,630.20 |
$-131.79 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 4:30pm ET | $1.91 | 1,898 | $3,630.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $1.85 | 1,898 | $3,502.44 | $3,484.61 |
$-145.59 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 25, 2026 11:20am ET | $1.84 | 1,892 | $3,484.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 25, 2026 2:50pm ET | $1.79 | 1,892 | $3,378.67 | $3,361.51 |
$-123.10 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 25, 2026 2:55pm ET | $1.79 | 1,879 | $3,361.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:10am ET | $1.89 | 1,879 | $3,556.93 | $3,539.63 |
+$178.12 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 3:40pm ET | $1.86 | 1,903 | $3,539.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 11:15pm ET | $1.80 | 1,903 | $3,427.35 | $3,409.93 |
$-129.70 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 11:20pm ET | $1.80 | 1,891 | $3,409.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $1.75 | 1,891 | $3,302.32 | $3,285.54 |
$-124.39 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.7h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $1.73 | 1,894 | $3,285.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 1:25am ET | $1.68 | 1,894 | $3,184.57 | $3,168.39 |
$-117.15 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:30am ET | $1.68 | 1,888 | $3,168.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 3:35am ET | $1.63 | 1,888 | $3,067.59 | $3,052.00 |
$-116.40 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 3:40am ET | $1.63 | 1,878 | $3,052.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 9:25am ET | $1.56 | 1,878 | $2,920.35 | $2,905.41 |
$-146.58 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.55 | 1,870 | $2,905.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET | $1.50 | 1,870 | $2,809.69 | $2,795.40 |
$-110.01 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 12:15pm ET | $1.51 | 1,854 | $2,795.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 1:40pm ET | $1.46 | 1,854 | $2,710.50 | $2,696.74 |
$-98.66 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 1, 2026 1:35am ET | $1.54 | 1,749 | $2,696.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 1, 2026 10:25am ET | $1.49 | 1,749 | $2,605.80 | $2,592.54 |
$-104.20 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 1, 2026 10:30am ET | $1.49 | 1,743 | $2,592.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $1.56 | 1,743 | $2,723.12 | $2,709.83 |
+$117.29 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 1:15pm ET | $1.55 | 1,747 | $2,709.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET | $1.50 | 1,747 | $2,622.47 | $2,609.14 |
$-100.69 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.50 | 1,744 | $2,609.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:20pm ET | $1.45 | 1,744 | $2,520.19 | $2,507.37 |
$-101.77 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 1:25pm ET | $1.44 | 1,737 | $2,507.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:25pm ET | $1.52 | 1,737 | $2,636.23 | $2,623.37 |
+$116.00 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 4:45pm ET | $1.52 | 1,724 | $2,623.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 8:55am ET | $1.47 | 1,724 | $2,538.91 | $2,526.00 |
$-97.36 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16.2h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:00am ET | $1.48 | 1,712 | $2,526.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 11:35am ET | $1.43 | 1,712 | $2,439.22 | $2,426.81 |
$-99.20 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 4:05pm ET | $1.46 | 1,658 | $2,426.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 2:55am ET | $1.42 | 1,658 | $2,353.87 | $2,341.92 |
$-84.89 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 5:20am ET | $1.42 | 1,646 | $2,341.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 6:20am ET | $1.38 | 1,646 | $2,263.88 | $2,252.36 |
$-89.56 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 6:25am ET | $1.37 | 1,640 | $2,252.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET | $1.32 | 1,640 | $2,165.42 | $2,154.37 |
$-97.99 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $1.31 | 1,646 | $2,154.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET | $1.25 | 1,646 | $2,062.21 | $2,051.67 |
$-102.71 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $1.24 | 1,649 | $2,051.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $1.15 | 1,649 | $1,896.64 | $1,886.77 |
$-164.90 (-7.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET | $1.13 | 1,667 | $1,886.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:30pm ET | $1.20 | 1,667 | $1,998.44 | $1,988.72 |
+$101.96 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:10pm ET | $1.23 | 1,616 | $1,988.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:50am ET | $1.30 | 1,616 | $2,092.12 | $2,081.92 |
+$93.19 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:00am ET | $1.27 | 1,643 | $2,081.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 8:20am ET | $1.33 | 1,643 | $2,187.08 | $2,176.41 |
+$94.49 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:40pm ET | $1.36 | 1,596 | $2,176.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 7, 2026 5:35am ET | $1.32 | 1,596 | $2,110.99 | $2,100.27 |
$-76.14 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.9h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2026 8:40am ET | $1.34 | 1,567 | $2,100.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 4:35am ET | $1.30 | 1,567 | $2,032.67 | $2,022.34 |
$-77.93 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 4:45am ET | $1.30 | 1,558 | $2,022.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:40am ET | $1.30 | 1,558 | $2,023.02 | $2,012.91 |
$-9.43 (+0.0%) |
📅 Sim Ended
19.9h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 12:55am ET | $1.30 | 1,554 | $2,012.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 11:50pm ET | $1.25 | 1,554 | $1,949.96 | $1,949.96 |
$-72.86 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
+ 1 refund ($10,000)