Compendium › Marcus Reversal › GILD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
GILD
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-23 to present • 3 trades in period

-5.72%
Last Month Return
$13,548.93
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$14,371.59
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-23 01:46:22

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.9/35
Total Return
13.0/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 27.4/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 24.9

30-Day Momentum

0
-2.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,371.59
Current Value
$13,548.93
Period P&L
$-822.65
Max Drawdown
-20.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+5.11%
Worst Trade
-3.64%
Avg Trade Return
-0.63%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$84,057.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-822.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-822.65
Gross Return
-5.72%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.72%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $14,371.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 11:00am ET $130.23 106 $13,804.38 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:25am ET $136.88 106 $14,509.28 $14,543.83 +$704.90
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:35am ET $132.25 109 $14,415.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET $127.44 109 $13,890.96 $14,019.54 $-524.29
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:50am ET $128.02 109 $13,953.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:00am ET $123.70 109 $13,483.30 $13,548.93 $-470.61
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,548.93
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,548.93
Total Return: +35.49%
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