Compendium › Marcus Reversal › GILD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
GILD
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 3 trades in period

+5.21%
Last Month Return
$17,022.05
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$16,179.29
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:04:48

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.7/35
Total Return
15.4/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 38.2/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 36.4

30-Day Momentum

34
+8.2%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 54.7 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$16,179.29
Current Value
$17,022.05
Period P&L
$842.75
Max Drawdown
-20.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.67

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+5.83%
Worst Trade
-3.03%
Avg Trade Return
+2.76%
Avg Hold Time
9.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$97,511.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$842.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$842.75
Gross Return
+5.21%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $16,179.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $143.26 109 $15,615.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $151.11 109 $16,470.99 $16,589.68 +$855.11
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 1:25pm ET $149.98 110 $16,497.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 10:25am ET $145.43 110 $15,997.85 $16,089.73 $-499.95
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:30am ET $144.13 111 $15,998.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $152.53 111 $16,930.83 $17,022.05 +$932.32
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,022.05
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,022.05
Total Return: +70.22%
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