Compendium › Marcus Reversal › GOOGL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
GOOGL
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 4 trades in period

+1.21%
Last Month Return
$27,023.96
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$26,700.56
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 01:45:07

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

59
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.8/35
Total Return
18.7/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
4.7/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 59.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 58.7

30-Day Momentum

29
+6.9%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 46.9 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-30 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$26,700.56
Current Value
$27,023.96
Period P&L
$323.45
Max Drawdown
-25.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+5.26%
Worst Trade
-3.38%
Avg Trade Return
+0.98%
Avg Hold Time
9.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$211,173.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$323.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$323.45
Gross Return
+1.21%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $26,700.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 1:55pm ET $341.26 76 $25,935.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET $329.72 76 $25,058.72 $25,215.22 $-877.03
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
27.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:00am ET $328.11 76 $24,936.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:45am ET $345.36 76 $26,247.36 $26,526.22 +$1,311.00
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:20am ET $344.11 77 $26,496.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:45am ET $361.77 77 $27,856.29 $27,885.96 +$1,359.74
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:45am ET $346.90 80 $27,752.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $336.13 80 $26,890.00 $27,023.96 $-862.00
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $27,023.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$17,023.96
Total Return: +170.24%
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