Compendium › Marcus Reversal › HD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
HD
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-24 to present • 3 trades in period

+4.56%
Last Month Return
$8,412.83
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$8,046.09
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:27:21

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 5.3/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 4.8

30-Day Momentum

30
+7.0%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 48.1 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,046.09
Current Value
$8,412.83
Period P&L
$366.74
Max Drawdown
-19.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.60

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+5.63%
Worst Trade
-3.31%
Avg Trade Return
+2.44%
Avg Hold Time
6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$47,239.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$366.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$366.74
Gross Return
+4.56%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $8,046.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $306.00 25 $7,650.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:25am ET $321.33 25 $8,033.37 $8,244.21 +$383.37
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:20pm ET $319.93 25 $7,998.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:30am ET $309.35 25 $7,733.75 $7,979.58 $-264.63
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $307.82 25 $7,695.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:55am ET $325.15 25 $8,128.75 $8,412.83 +$433.25
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,412.83
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,587.17
Total Return: -15.87%
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