Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-24 16:27:50

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.6/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 37.6/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 35.6

30-Day Momentum

6
-8.7%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-30 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$17,169.85
Current Value
$16,347.59
Period P&L
$-822.27
Max Drawdown
-17.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.27

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
2 / 6
Best Trade
+6.45%
Worst Trade
-3.80%
Avg Trade Return
-1.06%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$266,134.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-822.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$-822.27
Gross Return
-4.79%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.79%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $17,169.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 11:40am ET $256.96 69 $17,730.03
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $247.18 69 $17,055.59 $17,224.88 $-674.45
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 11:25am ET $265.12 64 $16,967.68
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:50am ET $278.78 64 $17,841.92 $18,099.12 +$874.24
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $317.13 57 $18,076.13
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $307.36 57 $17,519.24 $17,542.23 $-556.89
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $302.88 57 $17,264.16
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET $291.62 57 $16,622.34 $16,900.41 $-641.82
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:30am ET $283.10 59 $16,702.90
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:10pm ET $273.80 59 $16,154.21 $16,351.72 $-548.69
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $274.18 59 $16,176.62
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:10am ET $265.52 59 $15,665.68 $15,840.78 $-510.94
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:55am ET $270.61 58 $15,695.38
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $262.40 58 $15,219.49 $15,364.89 $-475.89
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 11:05am ET $245.65 62 $15,230.30
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $261.50 62 $16,213.00 $16,347.59 +$982.70
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,347.59
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,347.59
Total Return: +63.48%
Back to Marcus Reversal