Compendium › Marcus Reversal › JNJ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
JNJ
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 3 trades in period

+0.84%
Last Month Return
$16,763.01
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$16,623.47
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:48:59

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

41
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
17.2/35
Total Return
15.3/25
Win Rate
4.7/15
Profit Factor
4.4/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 48.1/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 41.4

30-Day Momentum

0
-0.9%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-41 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$16,623.47
Current Value
$16,763.01
Period P&L
$139.57
Max Drawdown
-13.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+5.72%
Worst Trade
-3.34%
Avg Trade Return
-0.22%
Avg Hold Time
6.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$99,646.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$139.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$139.57
Gross Return
+0.84%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.84%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $16,623.47 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:00am ET $273.77 61 $16,699.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:45am ET $264.63 61 $16,142.43 $16,357.48 $-557.54
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:50am ET $265.00 61 $16,164.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:40am ET $280.14 61 $17,088.84 $17,281.33 +$923.85
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $274.75 62 $17,034.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 10:40am ET $266.39 62 $16,516.18 $16,763.01 $-518.32
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,763.01
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,763.01
Total Return: +67.63%
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