Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 01:30:14

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 4.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

9
-8.3%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,857.11
Current Value
$8,124.77
Period P&L
$-732.31
Max Drawdown
-38.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
3 / 7
Best Trade
+5.31%
Worst Trade
-3.54%
Avg Trade Return
-0.79%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$162,048.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-732.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$-732.31
Gross Return
-8.27%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $8,857.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 1:25pm ET $5.21 1,698 $8,854.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:10am ET $5.03 1,698 $8,540.94 $8,543.46 $-313.62
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:45pm ET $5.18 1,650 $8,538.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:50am ET $5.01 1,650 $8,267.32 $8,272.03 $-271.43
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:50am ET $4.84 1,707 $8,270.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:40am ET $4.68 1,707 $7,988.76 $7,990.38 $-281.65
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:40am ET $4.52 1,767 $7,986.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 1:55pm ET $4.76 1,767 $8,410.92 $8,414.46 +$424.08
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 2:55pm ET $4.64 1,815 $8,412.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $4.49 1,815 $8,149.35 $8,151.28 $-263.18
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:35pm ET $4.68 1,739 $8,147.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:55am ET $4.53 1,739 $7,868.98 $7,873.04 $-278.24
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $4.31 1,826 $7,870.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $4.16 1,826 $7,596.16 $7,599.14 $-273.90
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:05am ET $4.04 1,880 $7,595.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $4.24 1,880 $7,980.60 $7,984.54 +$385.40
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET $4.27 1,870 $7,981.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:15am ET $4.14 1,870 $7,732.45 $7,735.27 $-249.27
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:45am ET $4.07 1,900 $7,733.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $4.28 1,900 $8,122.50 $8,124.77 +$389.50
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,124.77
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,875.23
Total Return: -18.75%
Back to Marcus Reversal