Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:57:34

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.8 oversold
20d Trend
-38.7%
5d Trend
-38.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.1%
ATR%
12.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 3.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.3

30-Day Momentum

52
+20.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
20
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.4 Conf: 1.00×
Accelerating (+49 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,264
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
33 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$352.85
Current Value
$642.24
Period P&L
$99.44
Max Drawdown
-95.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.34

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
12 / 10
Best Trade
+5.49%
Worst Trade
-3.56%
Avg Trade Return
+1.41%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$23,594.84
Estimated Fees
$58.99
Gross P&L
$99.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$40.46
Gross Return
+28.18%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.47%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 33 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $352.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 4:30am ET $51.36 9 $480.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 6:20am ET $54.05 9 $505.63 $505.63 +$22.70
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 7:20am ET $52.86 10 $505.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 5:55am ET $51.19 10 $489.66 $489.66 $-18.46
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 8:00am ET $51.09 10 $489.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 11:00am ET $49.51 10 $474.52 $474.52 $-17.55
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 11:05am ET $49.33 10 $474.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 30, 2026 7:50pm ET $47.78 10 $459.61 $459.61 $-17.25
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 30, 2026 7:55pm ET $47.82 10 $459.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:00pm ET $50.22 10 $482.68 $482.68 +$20.71
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 5:45am ET $50.55 10 $482.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2026 2:10am ET $53.20 10 $507.98 $507.98 +$22.83
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2026 4:25am ET $53.16 10 $507.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 6, 2026 8:30pm ET $55.99 10 $535.02 $535.02 +$24.44
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 6, 2026 9:35pm ET $54.65 10 $535.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 7, 2026 8:45am ET $57.65 10 $564.39 $564.39 +$26.62
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 7, 2026 10:00am ET $57.47 10 $564.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 7, 2026 11:35am ET $55.66 10 $546.61 $546.61 $-20.55
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 7, 2026 11:40am ET $55.59 10 $546.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 11:25pm ET $53.91 10 $530.09 $530.09 $-19.21
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 11:30pm ET $53.91 10 $530.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 3:35am ET $52.28 10 $514.06 $514.06 $-18.64
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 4:00am ET $52.41 10 $514.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 13, 2026 2:45pm ET $55.09 10 $540.35 $540.35 +$23.65
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.4d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 13, 2026 3:45pm ET $54.77 10 $540.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 7:55pm ET $53.12 10 $524.07 $524.07 $-18.94
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 8:00pm ET $53.12 10 $524.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:55am ET $51.41 10 $507.20 $507.20 $-19.45
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.9h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:00am ET $51.52 10 $507.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 8:35pm ET $54.31 10 $534.67 $534.67 +$24.86
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.4d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 6:15am ET $55.55 10 $534.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 8:05pm ET $58.44 10 $562.49 $562.49 +$25.07
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:20pm ET $57.70 10 $562.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 7:45am ET $60.60 10 $590.76 $590.76 +$25.39
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.4d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:15am ET $62.06 10 $590.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 6:20am ET $60.15 10 $572.58 $572.58 $-21.09
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 6:25am ET $59.84 10 $572.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:20pm ET $62.95 10 $602.34 $602.34 +$26.82
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.9h held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 8:30pm ET $62.92 10 $602.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:15am ET $60.68 10 $580.90 $580.90 $-24.40
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET $59.94 10 $580.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:20pm ET $62.99 10 $610.46 $610.46 +$26.58
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 2:00am ET $67.04 9 $610.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:55am ET $70.53 9 $642.24 $642.24 +$28.65
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $642.24
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,357.76
Total Return: -93.58%
Back to Marcus Reversal