Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:28:29

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 4.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 4.7

30-Day Momentum

46
+13.6%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.4 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+41 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$4,327.81
Current Value
$4,763.40
Period P&L
$435.59
Max Drawdown
-58.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
5 / 6
Best Trade
+7.42%
Worst Trade
-3.71%
Avg Trade Return
+0.99%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$96,715.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$435.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$435.59
Gross Return
+10.06%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $4,327.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 12:00pm ET $14.54 297 $4,318.38
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $14.05 297 $4,172.85 $4,182.28 $-145.53
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:40am ET $13.86 301 $4,173.36
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:20pm ET $14.63 301 $4,402.13 $4,411.04 +$228.76
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:35pm ET $14.86 296 $4,400.04
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $14.39 296 $4,257.96 $4,268.96 $-142.08
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $13.53 315 $4,262.58
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $13.03 315 $4,104.42 $4,110.80 $-158.16
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $13.69 300 $4,105.50
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:05am ET $14.37 300 $4,310.79 $4,316.09 +$205.29
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:50am ET $13.18 327 $4,308.23
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $12.77 327 $4,175.43 $4,183.30 $-132.79
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 12:05pm ET $13.91 300 $4,174.50
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $14.94 300 $4,482.00 $4,490.80 +$307.50
(+7.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 11:50am ET $14.73 304 $4,476.40
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:05am ET $14.27 304 $4,336.56 $4,350.96 $-139.84
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:05am ET $13.88 313 $4,344.44
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET $14.91 313 $4,666.86 $4,673.38 +$322.42
(+7.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $14.39 324 $4,662.36
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 10:05am ET $15.14 324 $4,903.74 $4,914.76 +$241.38
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:00pm ET $13.96 352 $4,913.92
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:45pm ET $13.53 352 $4,762.56 $4,763.40 $-151.36
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,763.40
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,236.60
Total Return: -52.37%
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