Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:28:55

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 4.3/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 4.0

30-Day Momentum

1
-7.1%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,305.52
Current Value
$8,205.06
Period P&L
$-100.45
Max Drawdown
-45.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+6.41%
Worst Trade
-5.00%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$80,162.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-100.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$-100.45
Gross Return
-1.21%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $8,305.52 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:50am ET $121.46 68 $8,258.94
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $116.52 68 $7,923.36 $7,969.93 $-335.58
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:55am ET $115.60 68 $7,860.46
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:05am ET $121.54 68 $8,264.50 $8,373.97 +$404.04
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:25am ET $121.24 69 $8,365.56
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:50am ET $117.50 69 $8,107.50 $8,115.91 $-258.06
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 3:50pm ET $121.28 66 $8,004.48
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $115.21 66 $7,603.86 $7,715.29 $-400.62
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET $114.06 67 $7,642.02
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $121.37 67 $8,131.79 $8,205.06 +$489.77
(+6.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,205.06
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,794.94
Total Return: -17.95%
Back to Marcus Reversal