Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:24:25

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
7.1/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 12.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 12.6

30-Day Momentum

44
+15.6%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 50.2 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+31 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,181.45
Current Value
$11,181.66
Period P&L
$2,000.15
Max Drawdown
-73.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.41

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
6 / 5
Best Trade
+7.27%
Worst Trade
-3.56%
Avg Trade Return
+1.93%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$199,159.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,000.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,000.15
Gross Return
+21.78%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $9,181.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET $150.50 61 $9,180.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 2:00pm ET $145.83 61 $8,895.87 $8,896.88 $-284.63
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 3:15pm ET $140.56 63 $8,855.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:10am ET $136.02 63 $8,569.57 $8,611.17 $-285.71
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:55pm ET $140.77 61 $8,587.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:40pm ET $136.53 61 $8,328.33 $8,352.42 $-258.75
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:50am ET $151.21 55 $8,316.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 12:05pm ET $146.64 55 $8,065.20 $8,100.80 $-251.62
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:05pm ET $143.21 56 $8,020.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $153.62 56 $8,602.72 $8,683.48 +$582.68
(+7.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 10:05am ET $142.76 60 $8,565.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET $137.68 60 $8,260.99 $8,378.87 $-304.61
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:40am ET $132.08 63 $8,321.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:40am ET $140.14 63 $8,828.78 $8,886.61 +$507.74
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:40am ET $143.07 62 $8,870.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $152.56 62 $9,458.72 $9,475.00 +$588.39
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:25am ET $154.13 61 $9,401.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:40am ET $163.43 61 $9,968.93 $10,041.99 +$566.99
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:40am ET $170.90 58 $9,912.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:20am ET $180.83 58 $10,488.14 $10,617.93 +$575.94
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:00am ET $185.07 57 $10,548.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $194.96 57 $11,112.72 $11,181.66 +$563.73
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,181.66
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,181.66
Total Return: +11.82%
Back to Marcus Reversal