Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:04:59

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

67
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
33.1/35
Total Return
20.8/25
Win Rate
3.0/15
Profit Factor
4.4/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 68.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 67.2

30-Day Momentum

34
+8.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 45.6 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$38,009.65
Current Value
$41,662.77
Period P&L
$3,653.16
Max Drawdown
-33.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+7.14%
Worst Trade
-3.30%
Avg Trade Return
+1.42%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$476,261.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,653.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,653.16
Gross Return
+9.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $38,009.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET $287.05 134 $38,464.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 11:45am ET $278.15 134 $37,272.77 $37,352.34 $-1,191.26
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 3:45pm ET $285.20 130 $37,076.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:55am ET $301.26 130 $39,163.15 $39,438.84 +$2,086.50
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:25am ET $300.70 131 $39,391.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:20am ET $290.78 131 $38,091.85 $38,139.24 $-1,299.60
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:35am ET $275.80 138 $38,060.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $295.50 138 $40,779.00 $40,857.84 +$2,718.60
(+7.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:35am ET $310.24 131 $40,641.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 10:15am ET $326.36 131 $42,752.51 $42,968.91 +$2,111.07
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:15am ET $325.28 132 $42,936.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:15am ET $315.39 132 $41,630.82 $41,662.77 $-1,306.14
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $41,662.77
Net Profit/Loss: +$31,662.77
Total Return: +316.63%
Back to Marcus Reversal