Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-20 01:19:20

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
14
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 19, 2026

54
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.6/35
Total Return
19.2/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 54.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 53.7

30-Day Momentum

5
-1.2%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 6.8 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-48 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$31,005.16
Current Value
$30,639.17
Period P&L
$-365.95
Max Drawdown
-33.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+5.17%
Worst Trade
-5.41%
Avg Trade Return
-0.07%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$449,870.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-365.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$-365.95
Gross Return
-1.18%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $31,005.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $206.82 149 $30,816.18
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 10:05am ET $217.33 149 $32,382.17 $32,571.11 +$1,565.99
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:20am ET $211.27 154 $32,535.58
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:05am ET $222.11 154 $34,204.94 $34,240.47 +$1,669.36
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $265.84 128 $34,027.52
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:35am ET $256.90 128 $32,883.84 $33,096.79 $-1,143.68
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $264.56 125 $33,070.00
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:55am ET $255.71 125 $31,963.13 $31,989.92 $-1,106.87
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:20pm ET $248.04 128 $31,749.12
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:15am ET $238.76 128 $30,560.64 $30,801.44 $-1,188.48
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:15am ET $222.08 138 $30,647.04
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $233.57 138 $32,231.97 $32,386.37 +$1,584.93
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $230.52 140 $32,272.80
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $218.04 140 $30,525.60 $30,639.17 $-1,747.20
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $30,639.17
Net Profit/Loss: +$20,639.17
Total Return: +206.39%
Back to Marcus Reversal