PEPEUSD Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last Month: 2026-01-15 to present • 42 trades in period
Data Transparency (Last Month)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Month)
Trade Statistics (Last Month)
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
💸 Capital Refund History
When capital drops below $100, the simulation automatically refunds to $10,000 and continues. This ensures continuous data collection even for strategies that experience significant losses.
| # | Date | Capital Before | Trades Before | Era Fees Paid | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dec 18, 2025 | $96.56 | 1,367 | $146,388.23 | CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED |
⚠️ Note: This simulation has been refunded 1 time. Total capital invested: $20,000. The return percentage accounts for all refunds.
📚 Strategy Crash History — Learning from Failures
Each "era" below represents a period where the strategy ran until it crashed (capital < $100). Study these to understand how this strategy can fail and what market conditions caused the losses.
📖 Learning Tip: Look for patterns in the crash history. Did the strategy fail during high volatility? Extended trends? Specific market conditions? Understanding how strategies die helps you know when NOT to use them in real trading.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PEPEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
Trade History (Last Month - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $11,828.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 12:50pm ET | $0.00000630 | 1,898,576,170 | $11,961.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:30pm ET | $0.00000611 | 1,898,576,170 | $11,600.30 | $11,541.40 |
$-419.63 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.7h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:00pm ET | $0.00000610 | 1,892,032,307 | $11,541.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $0.00000590 | 1,892,032,307 | $11,162.99 | $11,106.23 |
$-435.17 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.6h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:40am ET | $0.00000590 | 1,882,411,804 | $11,106.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 18, 2026 9:00am ET | $0.00000569 | 1,882,411,804 | $10,710.92 | $10,656.38 |
$-449.85 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $0.00000571 | 1,866,266,249 | $10,656.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 18, 2026 6:45pm ET | $0.00000547 | 1,866,266,249 | $10,208.48 | $10,156.31 |
$-500.07 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 18, 2026 6:50pm ET | $0.00000547 | 1,856,730,208 | $10,156.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 18, 2026 7:00pm ET | $0.00000524 | 1,856,730,208 | $9,729.27 | $9,679.55 |
$-476.76 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 18, 2026 7:05pm ET | $0.00000521 | 1,857,879,528 | $9,679.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 8:10am ET | $0.00000505 | 1,857,879,528 | $9,382.29 | $9,334.64 |
$-344.92 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:45am ET | $0.00000511 | 1,826,739,140 | $9,334.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 7:00am ET | $0.00000492 | 1,826,739,140 | $8,987.56 | $8,941.75 |
$-392.89 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 7:05am ET | $0.00000490 | 1,824,847,160 | $8,941.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:45am ET | $0.00000515 | 1,824,847,160 | $9,397.96 | $9,352.11 |
+$410.36 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.7h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:50am ET | $0.00000494 | 1,893,140,403 | $9,352.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 3:50pm ET | $0.00000519 | 1,893,140,403 | $9,825.40 | $9,777.45 |
+$425.34 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 5:25pm ET | $0.00000522 | 1,873,075,653 | $9,777.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 7:15am ET | $0.00000506 | 1,873,075,653 | $9,477.76 | $9,429.62 |
$-347.83 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 7:50am ET | $0.00000505 | 1,867,252,428 | $9,429.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $0.00000489 | 1,867,252,428 | $9,130.86 | $9,084.46 |
$-345.16 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $0.00000488 | 1,861,570,318 | $9,084.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 12:25pm ET | $0.00000522 | 1,861,570,318 | $9,717.40 | $9,670.39 |
+$585.93 (+7.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 2:30pm ET | $0.00000505 | 1,914,929,190 | $9,670.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 25, 2026 10:45am ET | $0.00000489 | 1,914,929,190 | $9,364.00 | $9,316.42 |
$-353.97 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 25, 2026 11:00am ET | $0.00000484 | 1,924,879,700 | $9,316.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 25, 2026 2:25pm ET | $0.00000466 | 1,924,879,700 | $8,969.94 | $8,924.22 |
$-392.19 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 25, 2026 2:30pm ET | $0.00000466 | 1,915,069,422 | $8,924.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 25, 2026 11:20pm ET | $0.00000490 | 1,915,069,422 | $9,383.84 | $9,338.07 |
+$413.85 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 12:30am ET | $0.00000483 | 1,933,347,828 | $9,338.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 8:20pm ET | $0.00000508 | 1,933,347,828 | $9,821.41 | $9,773.51 |
+$435.44 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:10pm ET | $0.00000513 | 1,905,167,305 | $9,773.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 4:35am ET | $0.00000497 | 1,905,167,305 | $9,468.68 | $9,420.58 |
$-352.93 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 5:00am ET | $0.00000497 | 1,895,488,135 | $9,420.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:30pm ET | $0.00000482 | 1,895,488,135 | $9,136.25 | $9,089.86 |
$-330.72 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:45pm ET | $0.00000479 | 1,897,674,476 | $9,089.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $0.00000464 | 1,897,674,476 | $8,805.21 | $8,760.47 |
$-329.39 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.4h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:15am ET | $0.00000467 | 1,875,904,046 | $8,760.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 1:30am ET | $0.00000452 | 1,875,904,046 | $8,479.09 | $8,435.99 |
$-324.48 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:35am ET | $0.00000452 | 1,866,368,892 | $8,435.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 8:10am ET | $0.00000438 | 1,866,368,892 | $8,174.70 | $8,133.17 |
$-302.82 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 8:15am ET | $0.00000437 | 1,861,137,080 | $8,133.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 9:25am ET | $0.00000423 | 1,861,137,080 | $7,872.61 | $7,832.60 |
$-300.57 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $0.00000422 | 1,856,065,261 | $7,832.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET | $0.00000406 | 1,856,065,261 | $7,535.62 | $7,497.20 |
$-335.39 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 12:25pm ET | $0.00000410 | 1,828,586,441 | $7,497.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $0.00000431 | 1,828,586,441 | $7,881.21 | $7,842.76 |
+$345.56 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 11:50am ET | $0.00000429 | 1,828,149,541 | $7,842.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:00pm ET | $0.00000416 | 1,828,149,541 | $7,605.10 | $7,566.48 |
$-276.28 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.2h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:50am ET | $0.00000422 | 1,793,005,315 | $7,566.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:50pm ET | $0.00000409 | 1,793,005,315 | $7,333.39 | $7,296.14 |
$-270.34 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:55pm ET | $0.00000408 | 1,788,270,111 | $7,296.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $0.00000431 | 1,788,270,111 | $7,707.44 | $7,669.94 |
+$373.79 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 5:00pm ET | $0.00000425 | 1,804,690,639 | $7,669.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 6:45pm ET | $0.00000411 | 1,804,690,639 | $7,417.28 | $7,379.56 |
$-290.37 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 6:50pm ET | $0.00000411 | 1,795,513,501 | $7,379.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 5:45am ET | $0.00000398 | 1,795,513,501 | $7,146.14 | $7,109.83 |
$-269.73 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 5:50am ET | $0.00000395 | 1,799,956,829 | $7,109.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $0.00000383 | 1,799,956,829 | $6,893.83 | $6,858.83 |
$-251.00 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $0.00000373 | 1,838,827,210 | $6,858.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:10pm ET | $0.00000361 | 1,838,827,210 | $6,638.17 | $6,604.42 |
$-254.40 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $0.00000355 | 1,860,401,056 | $6,604.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 6:40pm ET | $0.00000344 | 1,860,401,056 | $6,399.78 | $6,367.27 |
$-237.15 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 6:50pm ET | $0.00000341 | 1,867,234,348 | $6,367.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $0.00000320 | 1,867,234,348 | $5,975.15 | $5,944.29 |
$-422.98 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET | $0.00000309 | 1,923,719,697 | $5,944.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:20pm ET | $0.00000325 | 1,923,719,697 | $6,252.09 | $6,221.60 |
+$277.30 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:25pm ET | $0.00000326 | 1,908,465,662 | $6,221.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:50pm ET | $0.00000345 | 1,908,465,662 | $6,584.21 | $6,552.19 |
+$330.59 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
24m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:00am ET | $0.00000362 | 1,809,997,796 | $6,552.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $0.00000383 | 1,809,997,796 | $6,932.29 | $6,898.58 |
+$346.39 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 7:40pm ET | $0.00000387 | 1,782,578,902 | $6,898.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $0.00000374 | 1,782,578,902 | $6,666.85 | $6,632.93 |
$-265.65 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.1h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $0.00000387 | 1,713,935,796 | $6,632.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 8, 2026 11:45am ET | $0.00000375 | 1,713,935,796 | $6,427.26 | $6,394.61 |
$-238.32 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 8, 2026 11:50am ET | $0.00000374 | 1,709,788,438 | $6,394.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:40am ET | $0.00000375 | 1,709,788,438 | $6,411.71 | $6,379.69 |
$-14.92 (+0.3%) |
📅 Sim Ended
1.5d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 12:45am ET | $0.00000374 | 1,705,799,465 | $6,379.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 11:05am ET | $0.00000362 | 1,705,799,465 | $6,174.99 | $6,174.99 |
$-236.08 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.3h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:30pm ET | $0.00000362 | 1,705,799,465 | $6,174.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 5:45am ET | $0.00000351 | 1,705,799,465 | $5,987.36 | $5,987.36 |
$-218.04 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16.3h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET | $0.00000348 | 1,720,504,633 | $5,987.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 4:35pm ET | $0.00000366 | 1,720,504,633 | $6,297.05 | $6,297.05 |
+$278.98 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.5h held |
+ 1 refund ($10,000)