Compendium › Marcus Reversal › PM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PM
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 3 trades in period

+1.93%
Last Month Return
$13,938.13
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$13,674.37
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:54:45

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.8 overbought
20d Trend
+12.7%
5d Trend
+2.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.0%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
97%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.3/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 30.2/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 27.4

30-Day Momentum

17
+2.5%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 28.1 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,674.37
Current Value
$13,938.13
Period P&L
$263.77
Max Drawdown
-21.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+5.03%
Worst Trade
-3.01%
Avg Trade Return
+0.89%
Avg Hold Time
13.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$80,852.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$263.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$263.77
Gross Return
+1.93%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,674.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET $189.76 71 $13,472.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $191.00 71 $13,561.00 $13,683.24 +$88.27
(+0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
31d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 12:25pm ET $188.78 72 $13,592.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 1:15pm ET $183.10 72 $13,183.20 $13,274.28 $-408.96
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 1:30pm ET $185.77 71 $13,190.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:50am ET $195.13 71 $13,853.88 $13,938.13 +$663.85
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,938.13
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,938.13
Total Return: +39.38%
Back to Marcus Reversal