Compendium › Marcus Reversal › PYPL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PYPL
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 5 trades in period

-9.74%
Last Month Return
$10,716.89
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$11,872.75
Period Start
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Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
7.6/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 15.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 14.9

30-Day Momentum

2
-7.9%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,872.75
Current Value
$10,716.89
Period P&L
$-1,155.86
Max Drawdown
-35.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.23

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+5.27%
Worst Trade
-11.44%
Avg Trade Return
-1.44%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$107,570.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,155.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,155.86
Gross Return
-9.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PYPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $11,872.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $60.03 193 $11,585.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $53.16 193 $10,259.88 $10,309.45 $-1,325.91
(-11.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $53.28 193 $10,283.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 1:30pm ET $56.09 193 $10,825.37 $10,851.78 +$542.33
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $54.63 198 $10,817.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $52.99 198 $10,491.03 $10,525.08 $-326.70
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $51.08 206 $10,521.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $53.65 206 $11,051.90 $11,055.53 +$530.45
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 1:55pm ET $54.10 204 $11,036.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:25pm ET $52.44 204 $10,697.76 $10,716.89 $-338.64
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,716.89
Net Profit/Loss: +$716.89
Total Return: +7.17%
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