Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:27:21

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 4.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 4.8

30-Day Momentum

49
+19.3%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 56.3 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+44 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,523.32
Current Value
$8,752.42
Period P&L
$1,229.09
Max Drawdown
-51.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.40

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
6 / 4
Best Trade
+7.21%
Worst Trade
-4.54%
Avg Trade Return
+1.90%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$153,340.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,229.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,229.09
Gross Return
+16.34%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $7,523.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $24.74 296 $7,321.56
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 10:15am ET $25.98 296 $7,690.08 $7,705.37 +$368.52
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 3:40pm ET $26.71 288 $7,692.48
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:20am ET $28.27 288 $8,141.73 $8,154.62 +$449.25
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.7h held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:20am ET $27.31 298 $8,138.38
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $26.22 298 $7,812.07 $7,828.31 $-326.31
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:55am ET $27.89 280 $7,809.23
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $26.63 280 $7,455.00 $7,474.08 $-354.23
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $26.41 283 $7,474.03
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET $25.54 283 $7,227.82 $7,227.87 $-246.21
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $25.67 281 $7,214.67
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $24.72 281 $6,946.32 $6,959.52 $-268.35
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $23.87 291 $6,946.17
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 10:30am ET $25.07 291 $7,295.37 $7,308.72 +$349.20
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $26.50 275 $7,287.50
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $28.41 275 $7,812.75 $7,833.97 +$525.25
(+7.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 11:50am ET $27.61 283 $7,813.66
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET $29.17 283 $8,255.11 $8,275.42 +$441.45
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $27.55 300 $8,265.00
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 10:05am ET $29.14 300 $8,742.00 $8,752.42 +$477.00
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,752.42
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,247.58
Total Return: -12.48%
Back to Marcus Reversal