Compendium › Marcus Reversal › SLV
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SLV
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 4 trades in period

-2.27%
Last Month Return
$29,065.35
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$29,740.70
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 01:30:01

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

64
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
32.4/35
Total Return
19.1/25
Win Rate
4.2/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 65.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 64.3

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-64 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$29,740.70
Current Value
$29,065.35
Period P&L
$-675.33
Max Drawdown
-21.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.31

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+5.24%
Worst Trade
-3.48%
Avg Trade Return
-1.13%
Avg Hold Time
7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$240,159.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-675.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$-675.33
Gross Return
-2.27%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $29,740.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 2:00pm ET $62.81 485 $30,462.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:20pm ET $60.62 485 $29,402.01 $29,431.59 $-1,060.84
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $58.35 504 $29,408.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 10:05am ET $61.41 504 $30,950.64 $30,973.83 +$1,542.24
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:05am ET $58.43 530 $30,967.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $56.54 530 $29,966.25 $29,972.18 $-1,001.65
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $58.97 508 $29,954.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:35am ET $57.18 508 $29,047.39 $29,065.35 $-906.83
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $29,065.35
Net Profit/Loss: +$19,065.35
Total Return: +190.65%
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