Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:44:44

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

20
+3.3%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 25.2 Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$1,129.56
Current Value
$1,153.85
Period P&L
$24.23
Max Drawdown
-88.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
3 / 5
Best Trade
+6.26%
Worst Trade
-3.65%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$17,892.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$24.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$24.23
Gross Return
+2.15%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $1,129.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 1:30pm ET $36.86 31 $1,142.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET $35.54 31 $1,101.74 $1,117.22 $-40.92
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 3:45pm ET $37.94 29 $1,100.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $36.56 29 $1,060.24 $1,077.06 $-40.16
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $36.43 29 $1,056.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $38.71 29 $1,122.59 $1,143.18 +$66.12
(+6.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 12:10pm ET $40.72 28 $1,140.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET $39.43 28 $1,104.04 $1,107.06 $-36.12
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:20pm ET $38.29 28 $1,072.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:30am ET $40.32 28 $1,128.96 $1,163.90 +$56.84
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:30am ET $37.60 30 $1,128.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:55am ET $36.46 30 $1,093.80 $1,129.70 $-34.20
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 3:05pm ET $36.10 31 $1,119.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $38.05 31 $1,179.55 $1,190.15 +$60.45
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET $39.65 30 $1,189.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 12:25pm ET $38.44 30 $1,153.20 $1,153.85 $-36.30
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $1,153.85
Net Profit/Loss: $-8,846.15
Total Return: -88.46%
Back to Marcus Reversal