Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:28:55

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.5/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 26.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 25.5

30-Day Momentum

6
-0.3%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,648.72
Current Value
$14,120.45
Period P&L
$-528.25
Max Drawdown
-35.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+7.42%
Worst Trade
-4.37%
Avg Trade Return
-0.31%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$261,964.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-528.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$-528.25
Gross Return
-3.61%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $14,648.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 1:35pm ET $15.95 918 $14,642.10
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 11:30am ET $16.78 918 $15,399.54 $15,406.14 +$757.44
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 2:05pm ET $18.32 840 $15,388.80
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $17.74 840 $14,903.20 $14,920.54 $-485.60
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:40am ET $18.06 826 $14,913.43
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:00pm ET $17.49 826 $14,446.74 $14,453.85 $-466.69
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 3:00pm ET $16.69 865 $14,441.17
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:15am ET $16.11 865 $13,939.47 $13,952.15 $-501.70
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 2:00pm ET $16.49 846 $13,946.31
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $15.98 846 $13,519.08 $13,524.92 $-427.23
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:30am ET $16.11 839 $13,516.37
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $17.31 839 $14,518.90 $14,527.44 +$1,002.52
(+7.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:55am ET $17.29 840 $14,525.11
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $18.18 840 $15,275.40 $15,277.73 +$750.29
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:45am ET $17.51 872 $15,273.08
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $16.75 872 $14,606.00 $14,610.65 $-667.08
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 12:05pm ET $17.87 817 $14,599.79
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $17.27 817 $14,109.59 $14,120.45 $-490.20
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,120.45
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,120.45
Total Return: +41.20%
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