Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:03:22

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

69
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
23.3/25
Win Rate
3.1/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 70.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 69.1

30-Day Momentum

12
-6.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.8 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-57 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$79,621.29
Current Value
$78,101.04
Period P&L
$-1,520.21
Max Drawdown
-36.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
6 / 5
Best Trade
+8.69%
Worst Trade
-16.77%
Avg Trade Return
+0.11%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,745,572.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,520.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,520.21
Gross Return
-1.91%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $79,621.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 1:20pm ET $115.14 691 $79,561.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $123.49 691 $85,328.14 $85,387.65 +$5,766.40
(+7.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 11:35am ET $117.21 728 $85,328.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:00pm ET $111.98 728 $81,521.44 $81,580.21 $-3,807.44
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 12:00pm ET $110.83 736 $81,570.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $105.97 736 $77,993.92 $78,003.25 $-3,576.96
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:55am ET $101.52 768 $77,967.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 10:30am ET $106.75 768 $81,983.16 $82,019.05 +$4,015.80
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
35m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:35pm ET $115.71 708 $81,922.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $125.77 708 $89,045.16 $89,141.46 +$7,122.41
(+8.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:15am ET $124.34 716 $89,027.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $116.91 716 $83,707.56 $83,821.59 $-5,319.87
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 12:40pm ET $121.89 687 $83,735.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $101.44 687 $69,691.82 $69,778.42 $-14,043.17
(-16.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:55am ET $102.25 682 $69,734.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $107.43 682 $73,267.26 $73,311.18 +$3,532.76
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 12:25pm ET $116.78 627 $73,221.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $123.08 627 $77,171.16 $77,261.28 +$3,950.10
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:40am ET $145.76 530 $77,252.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET $140.09 530 $74,247.70 $74,256.18 $-3,005.10
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 11:10am ET $138.22 537 $74,224.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:50pm ET $145.38 537 $78,069.01 $78,101.04 +$3,844.86
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $78,101.04
Net Profit/Loss: +$68,101.04
Total Return: +681.01%
Back to Marcus Reversal