Compendium › Marcus Reversal › SPXU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SPXU
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-09 to present • 4 trades in period

-12.05%
Last Month Return
$8,746.31
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$9,944.93
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-09 06:48:04

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 8, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality 3.5/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 3.3

30-Day Momentum

2
-19.6%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,944.93
Current Value
$8,746.31
Period P&L
$-1,198.62
Max Drawdown
-30.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-66.46

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
0 / 4
Best Trade
-3.10%
Worst Trade
-3.22%
Avg Trade Return
-3.17%
Avg Hold Time
5.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$74,524.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,198.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,198.62
Gross Return
-12.05%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.05%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $9,944.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET $50.10 198 $9,919.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:50pm ET $48.55 198 $9,612.39 $9,637.71 $-307.22
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:50pm ET $46.56 206 $9,592.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:15am ET $45.08 206 $9,285.45 $9,330.77 $-306.94
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:50pm ET $43.16 216 $9,322.49 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $41.77 216 $9,022.32 $9,030.60 $-300.17
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
4 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:40am ET $41.60 217 $9,027.22 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:55am ET $40.29 217 $8,742.93 $8,746.31 $-284.29
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,746.31
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,253.69
Total Return: -12.54%
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