Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:29:20

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 3.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.0

30-Day Momentum

1
-5.3%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$4,889.22
Current Value
$4,631.82
Period P&L
$-257.43
Max Drawdown
-66.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+5.45%
Worst Trade
-4.08%
Avg Trade Return
+0.04%
Avg Hold Time
5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$47,969.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-257.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$-257.43
Gross Return
-5.27%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $4,889.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:20am ET $38.13 121 $4,613.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $40.15 121 $4,857.87 $4,890.18 +$244.14
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:35am ET $39.08 125 $4,885.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 1:05pm ET $37.90 125 $4,737.51 $4,742.69 $-147.49
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 3:45pm ET $38.63 122 $4,713.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $40.74 122 $4,970.28 $4,999.50 +$256.81
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $40.02 124 $4,962.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $38.64 124 $4,791.36 $4,828.38 $-171.12
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $38.23 126 $4,816.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $36.67 126 $4,620.42 $4,631.82 $-196.56
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,631.82
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,368.18
Total Return: -53.68%
Back to Marcus Reversal