Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:24:36

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 4.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

2
-9.1%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,428.17
Current Value
$8,571.36
Period P&L
$-856.82
Max Drawdown
-50.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.52

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+5.10%
Worst Trade
-4.87%
Avg Trade Return
-1.83%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$90,161.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-856.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$-856.82
Gross Return
-9.09%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $9,428.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 11:30am ET $19.07 494 $9,418.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:50am ET $18.44 494 $9,111.83 $9,121.90 $-306.28
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:55am ET $18.35 497 $9,119.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $17.79 497 $8,841.63 $8,843.58 $-278.32
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $17.14 516 $8,842.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $18.01 516 $9,293.16 $9,294.56 +$450.98
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $18.29 508 $9,291.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.40 508 $8,839.20 $8,842.44 $-452.12
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 11:10am ET $17.60 502 $8,837.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:55am ET $17.07 502 $8,566.63 $8,571.36 $-271.08
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,571.36
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,428.64
Total Return: -14.29%
Back to Marcus Reversal