Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-05-09 07:49:08

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 9, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.4/35
Total Return
12.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 20.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 20.0

30-Day Momentum

6
-9.0%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,731.82
Current Value
$13,400.30
Period P&L
$-1,331.53
Max Drawdown
-50.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.30

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
2 / 6
Best Trade
+5.34%
Worst Trade
-3.48%
Avg Trade Return
-1.11%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$219,986.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,331.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,331.53
Gross Return
-9.04%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $14,731.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:05am ET $43.81 336 $14,720.19
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET $42.35 336 $14,228.42 $14,240.06 $-491.77
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:40am ET $41.01 347 $14,230.44
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:40pm ET $39.72 347 $13,782.84 $13,792.47 $-447.59
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:40pm ET $38.52 358 $13,790.16
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:00am ET $37.34 358 $13,367.76 $13,370.07 $-422.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 12:10pm ET $38.99 342 $13,334.58
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $40.96 342 $14,008.35 $14,043.84 +$673.77
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:55pm ET $38.81 361 $14,010.41
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:05pm ET $37.63 361 $13,584.43 $13,617.86 $-425.98
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:05am ET $37.37 364 $13,602.68
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $36.07 364 $13,129.48 $13,144.66 $-473.20
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
7 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:05am ET $35.77 367 $13,127.59
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:25am ET $37.68 367 $13,828.56 $13,845.63 +$700.97
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $36.53 379 $13,842.98
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:35am ET $35.35 379 $13,397.65 $13,400.30 $-445.33
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,400.30
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,400.30
Total Return: +34.00%
Back to Marcus Reversal