Compendium › Marcus Reversal › VTI
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VTI
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 1 trades in period

-1.26%
Last Month Return
$15,488.39
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$15,686.19
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:09:22

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.9%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.9/35
Total Return
14.5/25
Win Rate
9.4/15
Profit Factor
5.8/15
Consistency
7.2/10
Raw Quality 48.8/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 40.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,686.19
Current Value
$15,488.39
Period P&L
$-197.83
Max Drawdown
-16.1%
Sharpe Ratio
—

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
1
Winners / Losers
0 / 1
Best Trade
-2.55%
Worst Trade
-2.55%
Avg Trade Return
-2.55%
Avg Hold Time
30.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$31,046.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-197.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$-197.83
Gross Return
-1.26%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VTI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 1 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $15,686.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 1:35pm ET $383.51 41 $15,723.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $373.72 41 $15,322.52 $15,488.39 $-401.39
(-2.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
30.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,488.39
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,488.39
Total Return: +54.88%
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