Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:34:31

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.4/35
Total Return
11.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 18.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 18.4

30-Day Momentum

2
-7.2%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,125.55
Current Value
$12,187.73
Period P&L
$-937.84
Max Drawdown
-32.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.44

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+5.08%
Worst Trade
-3.11%
Avg Trade Return
-1.42%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$126,498.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-937.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$-937.84
Gross Return
-7.15%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,125.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 11:20am ET $18.77 699 $13,123.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 12:30pm ET $18.21 699 $12,728.79 $12,730.63 $-394.94
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:40am ET $18.23 698 $12,724.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $17.67 698 $12,337.15 $12,343.24 $-387.39
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 11:15am ET $17.82 692 $12,331.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $18.73 692 $12,957.70 $12,969.50 +$626.26
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $18.24 711 $12,968.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.69 711 $12,577.59 $12,578.45 $-391.05
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 2:15pm ET $17.85 704 $12,569.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 11:10am ET $17.30 704 $12,179.20 $12,187.73 $-390.72
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,187.73
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,187.73
Total Return: +21.88%
Back to Marcus Reversal