Compendium › Marcus Reversal › VZ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VZ
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 3 trades in period

-4.10%
Last Month Return
$12,677.00
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$13,219.10
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:45:00

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
86 overbought
20d Trend
+20.8%
5d Trend
+7.0%
EMA20 Dist
+10.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
12.1×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.6/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
1.2/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 27.2/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 25.0

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.4%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,219.10
Current Value
$12,677.00
Period P&L
$-542.11
Max Drawdown
-14.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+5.04%
Worst Trade
-3.10%
Avg Trade Return
-0.38%
Avg Hold Time
12.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$78,542.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-542.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$-542.11
Gross Return
-4.10%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.10%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VZ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,219.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 1:15pm ET $48.37 265 $12,816.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:45am ET $50.81 265 $13,463.33 $13,497.36 +$646.60
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
17.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 1:20pm ET $50.63 266 $13,468.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 10:15am ET $49.08 266 $13,053.95 $13,082.40 $-414.96
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:15am ET $47.88 273 $13,072.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 2:50pm ET $46.40 273 $12,667.20 $12,677.00 $-405.40
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,677.00
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,677.00
Total Return: +26.77%
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