Compendium › Marcus Reversal › XOM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XOM
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 3 trades in period

+0.84%
Last Month Return
$12,919.24
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$12,811.80
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:21:03

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.5/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 27.0/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 25.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,811.80
Current Value
$12,919.24
Period P&L
$107.44
Max Drawdown
-18.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+5.62%
Worst Trade
-3.05%
Avg Trade Return
-0.16%
Avg Hold Time
9.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$77,320.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$107.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$107.44
Gross Return
+0.84%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.84%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,811.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 12:35pm ET $167.43 77 $12,892.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 12:15pm ET $162.34 77 $12,499.80 $12,623.15 $-392.29
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $158.16 79 $12,495.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $167.06 79 $13,197.74 $13,325.86 +$702.71
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
15d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 11:10am ET $164.46 81 $13,321.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:10am ET $159.44 81 $12,914.64 $12,919.24 $-406.62
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,919.24
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,919.24
Total Return: +29.19%
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