Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:44:37

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.4/35
Total Return
16.2/25
Win Rate
4.0/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 43.8/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 40.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,270
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$13,611.50
Current Value
$18,828.54
Period P&L
$5,217.04
Max Drawdown
-21.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
15 / 12
Best Trade
+5.77%
Worst Trade
-8.46%
Avg Trade Return
+1.31%
Avg Hold Time
10.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$849,476.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,217.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,217.04
Gross Return
+38.33%
Net Return (after fees)
+38.33%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,611.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 1:00pm ET $255.03 53 $13,516.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 1:00pm ET $247.26 53 $13,104.78 $13,246.31 $-411.81
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 2:10pm ET $248.82 53 $13,187.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 10:55am ET $261.57 53 $13,863.21 $13,922.06 +$675.75
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 11:15am ET $262.92 52 $13,671.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET $276.33 52 $14,369.16 $14,619.39 +$697.33
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 1:40pm ET $274.00 53 $14,522.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 9:35am ET $288.22 53 $15,275.67 $15,373.05 +$753.67
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 9:35am ET $283.06 54 $15,285.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 9:55am ET $274.21 54 $14,807.34 $14,895.15 $-477.90
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 2:20pm ET $277.82 53 $14,724.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 9:35am ET $268.08 53 $14,207.98 $14,378.67 $-516.49
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 11:45am ET $270.89 53 $14,357.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 11:10am ET $262.73 53 $13,924.69 $13,946.18 $-432.49
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 11:25am ET $261.09 53 $13,837.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $253.08 53 $13,413.24 $13,521.65 $-424.53
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET $246.00 54 $13,283.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $260.20 54 $14,050.80 $14,288.72 +$767.07
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $257.39 55 $14,156.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET $270.92 55 $14,900.50 $15,032.78 +$744.05
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:45pm ET $278.38 54 $15,032.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $274.60 54 $14,828.40 $14,828.66 $-204.12
(-1.4%)
📅 Sim Ended
3.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $264.17 56 $14,793.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $255.15 56 $14,288.40 $14,323.82 $-504.84
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET $254.45 56 $14,249.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:50am ET $246.46 56 $13,801.48 $13,876.10 $-447.72
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET $247.33 56 $13,850.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET $259.77 56 $14,546.84 $14,572.46 +$696.36
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:10am ET $249.08 58 $14,446.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:15am ET $261.66 58 $15,176.28 $15,302.10 +$729.64
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:30am ET $257.29 59 $15,180.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:50am ET $270.36 59 $15,951.24 $16,073.23 +$771.13
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:05am ET $272.01 59 $16,048.59 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:10am ET $285.92 59 $16,869.28 $16,893.92 +$820.69
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
18 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:10am ET $275.81 61 $16,824.41 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:45am ET $289.68 61 $17,670.78 $17,740.30 +$846.38
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
19 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 11:55am ET $292.52 60 $17,550.90 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:35am ET $308.30 60 $18,497.70 $18,687.10 +$946.80
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held
20 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 12:05pm ET $310.45 60 $18,627.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $300.05 60 $18,003.00 $18,063.10 $-624.00
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 3:10pm ET $293.03 61 $17,874.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:40am ET $281.07 61 $17,145.27 $17,333.48 $-729.62
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 11:55am ET $277.27 62 $17,190.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $292.13 62 $18,112.06 $18,254.80 +$921.32
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:40pm ET $312.07 58 $18,100.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $328.06 58 $19,027.48 $19,182.24 +$927.44
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
24 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 2:15pm ET $329.62 58 $19,117.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:50am ET $319.60 58 $18,536.80 $18,601.08 $-581.16
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
25 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $332.27 55 $18,274.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $304.14 55 $16,727.70 $17,054.21 $-1,546.88
(-8.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 11:20am ET $305.20 55 $16,786.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 11:00am ET $320.64 55 $17,635.21 $17,903.42 +$849.21
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
25d held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:00am ET $315.41 56 $17,662.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $331.93 56 $18,588.08 $18,828.54 +$925.12
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,828.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,828.54
Total Return: +88.29%
Back to Marcus Reversal