ABBV Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 38 trades in period
+1.89%
Last Year Return
$14,559.06
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$14,288.49
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
32
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
9.0/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
33.6/100
× Confidence 0.94
= 31.5
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,834
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
259 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$14,288.49
Current Value
$14,559.06
Period P&L
$270.56
Max Drawdown
-17.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
16 /
22
Best Trade
+6.01%
Worst Trade
-7.72%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
7.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$983,657.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$270.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$270.56
Gross Return
+1.89%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.89%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 259 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $14,288.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $219.55 | 64 | $14,051.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 2:20pm ET | $230.81 | 64 | $14,771.84 | $14,807.53 |
+$720.64 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.2d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 9:40am ET | $239.92 | 61 | $14,635.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $231.86 | 61 | $14,143.46 | $14,315.87 |
$-491.66 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 2:10pm ET | $232.49 | 61 | $14,181.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 9:40am ET | $224.86 | 61 | $13,716.16 | $13,850.14 |
$-465.74 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 11:15am ET | $226.63 | 61 | $13,824.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $218.59 | 61 | $13,333.99 | $13,359.70 |
$-490.44 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 10:25am ET | $215.24 | 62 | $13,344.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 9:40am ET | $226.80 | 62 | $14,061.29 | $14,076.11 |
+$716.41 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 1:35pm ET | $237.17 | 59 | $13,992.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 10:20am ET | $229.69 | 59 | $13,551.42 | $13,634.79 |
$-441.32 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $236.39 | 57 | $13,474.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 3:50pm ET | $229.24 | 57 | $13,066.68 | $13,227.24 |
$-407.55 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 9:40am ET | $229.96 | 57 | $13,107.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 3:25pm ET | $222.87 | 57 | $12,703.59 | $12,823.39 |
$-403.85 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:50am ET | $224.54 | 57 | $12,798.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $235.97 | 57 | $13,450.29 | $13,474.90 |
+$651.51 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
27.2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 2:55pm ET | $223.20 | 60 | $13,391.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $216.36 | 60 | $12,981.30 | $13,064.50 |
$-410.40 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 11:30am ET | $219.09 | 59 | $12,926.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $210.38 | 59 | $12,412.13 | $12,550.31 |
$-514.19 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:45am ET | $215.77 | 58 | $12,514.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $226.97 | 58 | $13,164.26 | $13,199.91 |
+$649.60 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:30pm ET | $225.01 | 58 | $13,050.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $207.65 | 58 | $12,043.41 | $12,193.03 |
$-1,006.88 (-7.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:25am ET | $214.82 | 56 | $12,030.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $222.54 | 56 | $12,462.24 | $12,625.21 |
+$432.18 (+3.6%) |
📅 Sim Ended
4.2d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:05am ET | $232.17 | 54 | $12,537.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 10:10am ET | $225.19 | 54 | $12,160.24 | $12,248.27 |
$-376.94 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:10pm ET | $224.38 | 54 | $12,116.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 10:55am ET | $235.83 | 54 | $12,734.77 | $12,866.52 |
+$618.25 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 11:40am ET | $228.57 | 56 | $12,799.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 3:35pm ET | $220.99 | 56 | $12,375.16 | $12,441.76 |
$-424.76 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 3:30pm ET | $221.10 | 56 | $12,381.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $212.40 | 56 | $11,894.38 | $11,954.54 |
$-487.22 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 10:40am ET | $207.71 | 57 | $11,839.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:00am ET | $218.27 | 57 | $12,441.67 | $12,557.03 |
+$602.49 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:40am ET | $217.33 | 57 | $12,387.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $210.79 | 57 | $12,015.03 | $12,184.25 |
$-372.78 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 11:15am ET | $207.48 | 58 | $12,033.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:50am ET | $200.92 | 58 | $11,653.36 | $11,803.77 |
$-380.48 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:40am ET | $203.68 | 57 | $11,609.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 11:35am ET | $197.24 | 57 | $11,242.68 | $11,436.69 |
$-367.08 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 1:05pm ET | $198.96 | 57 | $11,340.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $210.91 | 57 | $12,022.15 | $12,118.41 |
+$681.72 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $210.03 | 57 | $11,971.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $203.67 | 57 | $11,609.19 | $11,755.89 |
$-362.52 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $201.24 | 58 | $11,671.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 9:55am ET | $211.81 | 58 | $12,284.98 | $12,368.95 |
+$613.06 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 11:30am ET | $210.38 | 58 | $12,202.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $221.10 | 58 | $12,824.09 | $12,990.71 |
+$621.76 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 2:05pm ET | $229.07 | 56 | $12,827.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 12:20pm ET | $222.18 | 56 | $12,442.08 | $12,604.87 |
$-385.84 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 1:20pm ET | $225.06 | 56 | $12,603.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 10:25am ET | $218.16 | 56 | $12,216.96 | $12,218.47 |
$-386.40 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 2:30pm ET | $230.63 | 52 | $11,993.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 10:55am ET | $242.56 | 52 | $12,613.12 | $12,838.57 |
+$620.10 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 12:35pm ET | $247.25 | 51 | $12,609.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 11:00am ET | $259.87 | 51 | $13,253.37 | $13,482.19 |
+$643.62 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 12:00pm ET | $255.05 | 52 | $13,262.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $247.17 | 52 | $12,852.84 | $13,072.43 |
$-409.76 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 11:00am ET | $246.45 | 53 | $13,061.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $259.36 | 53 | $13,746.08 | $13,756.66 |
+$684.23 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 12:25pm ET | $253.61 | 54 | $13,694.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 2:00pm ET | $266.35 | 54 | $14,382.90 | $14,444.62 |
+$687.96 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 3:20pm ET | $263.82 | 54 | $14,246.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 10:25am ET | $255.63 | 54 | $13,804.01 | $14,002.35 |
$-442.27 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:25am ET | $252.16 | 55 | $13,868.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $244.23 | 55 | $13,432.38 | $13,565.93 |
$-436.42 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 11:15am ET | $246.26 | 55 | $13,544.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $259.01 | 55 | $14,245.55 | $14,267.18 |
+$701.25 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.2d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 12:35pm ET | $264.65 | 53 | $14,026.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $256.55 | 53 | $13,596.89 | $13,837.62 |
$-429.56 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $252.55 | 54 | $13,637.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $265.91 | 54 | $14,359.14 | $14,559.06 |
+$721.44 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,559.06
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,559.06
Total Return:
+45.59%