Compendium › Marcus Reversal › BAC
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
BAC
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 24 trades in period

+7.32%
Last Year Return
$14,252.71
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$13,280.20
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:51:30

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+0.8%
5d Trend
+3.3%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.9/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 30.4/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 28.3

30-Day Momentum

1
-12.1%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
24,566
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$13,280.20
Current Value
$14,252.71
Period P&L
$972.53
Max Drawdown
-21.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
11 / 13
Best Trade
+5.90%
Worst Trade
-4.86%
Avg Trade Return
+0.49%
Avg Hold Time
14.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$656,359.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$972.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$972.53
Gross Return
+7.32%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.32%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BAC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,280.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2025 11:25am ET $50.38 256 $12,897.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET $52.41 256 $13,416.96 $13,456.83 +$519.68
(+4.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
31.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 10:10am ET $51.93 259 $13,448.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 10:00am ET $50.33 259 $13,034.18 $13,042.43 $-414.40
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 10:05am ET $49.94 261 $13,033.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 10:15am ET $52.46 261 $13,692.06 $13,701.45 +$659.03
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 11:50am ET $51.87 264 $13,693.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 3:25pm ET $50.25 264 $13,264.68 $13,272.45 $-429.00
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 3:20pm ET $52.05 255 $13,271.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 1:50pm ET $50.45 255 $12,863.48 $12,864.45 $-408.00
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 12:30pm ET $52.58 244 $12,828.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 10:00am ET $50.97 244 $12,435.46 $12,471.61 $-392.84
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
27.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 3:40pm ET $52.65 236 $12,424.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $55.67 236 $13,136.94 $13,184.33 +$712.72
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.7d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET $55.21 238 $13,139.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $52.53 238 $12,500.95 $12,545.30 $-639.03
(-4.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
29d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:50pm ET $52.68 238 $12,536.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET $55.44 238 $13,194.72 $13,203.37 +$658.07
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $54.69 241 $13,181.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $56.37 241 $13,583.97 $13,605.84 +$402.47
(+3.0%) 		📅 Sim Ended
4.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $52.76 257 $13,560.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:15am ET $51.15 257 $13,146.83 $13,192.07 $-413.77
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $50.40 261 $13,155.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $48.75 261 $12,723.75 $12,760.12 $-431.95
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $49.61 257 $12,749.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $48.06 257 $12,351.42 $12,361.77 $-398.35
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET $47.47 260 $12,342.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $49.90 260 $12,972.70 $12,992.27 +$630.50
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
28d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET $49.63 261 $12,953.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:50am ET $52.12 261 $13,602.02 $13,640.86 +$648.59
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 3:20pm ET $52.65 259 $13,635.06 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $50.70 259 $13,131.30 $13,137.11 $-503.75
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
31.8d held
17 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:40am ET $50.24 261 $13,111.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $52.97 261 $13,826.47 $13,852.25 +$715.14
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET $53.62 258 $13,833.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $56.78 258 $14,650.53 $14,668.82 +$816.57
(+5.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
10d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $56.85 258 $14,667.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:45am ET $59.76 258 $15,418.08 $15,419.63 +$750.81
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:40am ET $60.12 256 $15,390.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 10:15am ET $63.22 256 $16,183.04 $16,211.95 +$792.32
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
28d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 10:40am ET $63.26 256 $16,195.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:10am ET $61.29 256 $15,690.24 $15,706.35 $-505.60
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $62.20 252 $15,674.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $60.12 252 $15,150.24 $15,182.19 $-524.16
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14.2d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $59.33 255 $15,129.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $57.44 255 $14,648.47 $14,701.51 $-480.68
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $57.52 255 $14,667.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:50am ET $55.76 255 $14,218.80 $14,252.71 $-448.80
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,252.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,252.71
Total Return: +42.53%
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