BIIB Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 34 trades in period
+18.44%
Last Year Return
$7,094.22
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$5,989.75
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.5 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
4.5/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 4.5
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
256 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$5,989.75
Current Value
$7,094.22
Period P&L
$1,104.43
Max Drawdown
-46.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
16 /
18
Best Trade
+6.75%
Worst Trade
-4.55%
Avg Trade Return
+0.60%
Avg Hold Time
8.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$435,233.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,104.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,104.43
Gross Return
+18.44%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.44%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BIIB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 256 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $5,989.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 11:00am ET | $138.12 | 43 | $5,939.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 9:45am ET | $145.32 | 43 | $6,248.76 | $6,299.39 |
+$309.60 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 10:50am ET | $153.62 | 41 | $6,298.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 12:05pm ET | $148.77 | 41 | $6,099.57 | $6,100.54 |
$-198.85 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 12:20pm ET | $146.22 | 41 | $5,995.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 2:30pm ET | $141.74 | 41 | $5,811.34 | $5,916.86 |
$-183.68 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 12:25pm ET | $146.56 | 40 | $5,862.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 11:25am ET | $153.99 | 40 | $6,159.60 | $6,214.06 |
+$297.20 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 10:10am ET | $152.52 | 40 | $6,100.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 9:45am ET | $160.34 | 40 | $6,413.40 | $6,526.66 |
+$312.60 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 1:25pm ET | $165.85 | 39 | $6,468.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 11:50am ET | $174.48 | 39 | $6,804.65 | $6,863.16 |
+$336.50 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 11:50am ET | $179.85 | 38 | $6,834.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $172.72 | 38 | $6,563.36 | $6,592.41 |
$-270.75 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 12:20pm ET | $178.94 | 36 | $6,441.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 3:25pm ET | $173.48 | 36 | $6,245.28 | $6,395.94 |
$-196.47 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $171.53 | 37 | $6,346.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $180.27 | 37 | $6,669.99 | $6,719.51 |
+$323.57 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 12:15pm ET | $184.77 | 36 | $6,651.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 2:25pm ET | $179.03 | 36 | $6,445.08 | $6,512.87 |
$-206.64 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:45pm ET | $168.61 | 38 | $6,407.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $160.94 | 38 | $6,115.72 | $6,221.41 |
$-291.46 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $169.21 | 36 | $6,091.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.83 | 36 | $6,401.88 | $6,531.73 |
+$310.32 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 1:00pm ET | $178.58 | 36 | $6,428.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:15am ET | $187.51 | 36 | $6,750.36 | $6,853.21 |
+$321.48 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $193.08 | 35 | $6,757.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $193.67 | 35 | $6,778.45 | $6,873.86 |
+$20.65 (+0.3%) |
📅 Sim Ended
6.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:55am ET | $196.17 | 35 | $6,865.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 1:35pm ET | $190.28 | 35 | $6,659.80 | $6,667.71 |
$-206.15 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:05am ET | $189.17 | 35 | $6,620.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $182.54 | 35 | $6,388.90 | $6,435.66 |
$-232.05 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:45am ET | $184.53 | 34 | $6,274.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $177.20 | 34 | $6,024.63 | $6,186.27 |
$-249.39 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
27d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 11:40am ET | $182.09 | 33 | $6,008.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 3:25pm ET | $176.57 | 33 | $5,826.81 | $6,004.28 |
$-181.99 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $173.40 | 34 | $5,895.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $182.62 | 34 | $6,209.22 | $6,317.90 |
+$313.62 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $185.57 | 34 | $6,309.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 2:40pm ET | $179.96 | 34 | $6,118.64 | $6,127.16 |
$-190.74 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 2:45pm ET | $182.71 | 33 | $6,029.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 11:15am ET | $193.50 | 33 | $6,385.50 | $6,483.07 |
+$355.91 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 12:45pm ET | $190.26 | 34 | $6,468.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 10:25am ET | $200.10 | 34 | $6,803.40 | $6,817.63 |
+$334.56 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $200.07 | 34 | $6,802.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 10:30am ET | $193.56 | 34 | $6,581.04 | $6,596.12 |
$-221.51 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 12:20pm ET | $191.57 | 34 | $6,513.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $185.59 | 34 | $6,310.19 | $6,392.76 |
$-203.36 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 1:25pm ET | $198.21 | 32 | $6,342.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $211.60 | 32 | $6,771.04 | $6,821.08 |
+$428.32 (+6.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 12:00pm ET | $216.32 | 31 | $6,705.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $209.18 | 31 | $6,484.58 | $6,599.89 |
$-221.19 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $203.87 | 32 | $6,523.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $196.57 | 32 | $6,290.24 | $6,366.45 |
$-233.44 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $197.10 | 32 | $6,307.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 10:55am ET | $190.85 | 32 | $6,107.20 | $6,166.46 |
$-199.99 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $195.25 | 31 | $6,052.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 11:25am ET | $205.11 | 31 | $6,358.41 | $6,472.12 |
+$305.66 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 11:25am ET | $209.43 | 30 | $6,283.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:50am ET | $202.84 | 30 | $6,085.20 | $6,274.27 |
$-197.85 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 11:20am ET | $201.35 | 31 | $6,241.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $212.89 | 31 | $6,599.59 | $6,632.01 |
+$357.74 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $205.71 | 32 | $6,582.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $217.26 | 32 | $6,952.32 | $7,001.45 |
+$369.44 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 10:55am ET | $218.29 | 32 | $6,985.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $210.83 | 32 | $6,746.56 | $6,762.73 |
$-238.72 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 11:30am ET | $213.77 | 31 | $6,626.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 10:50am ET | $224.46 | 31 | $6,958.26 | $7,094.22 |
+$331.49 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,094.22
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,905.78
Total Return:
-29.06%