CMCSA Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 38 trades in period
-13.09%
Last Year Return
$6,701.74
Current Value
34%
Win Rate
$7,710.83
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality
5.6/100
× Confidence 0.94
= 5.3
30-Day Momentum
1
-12.3%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4
Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
24,081
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
263 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$7,710.83
Current Value
$6,701.74
Period P&L
$-1,009.10
Max Drawdown
-36.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
13 /
25
Best Trade
+19.87%
Worst Trade
-6.36%
Avg Trade Return
-0.29%
Avg Hold Time
8.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$513,289.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,009.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,009.10
Gross Return
-13.09%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.09%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 263 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $7,710.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2025 2:45pm ET | $32.25 | 243 | $7,837.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $31.20 | 243 | $7,581.60 | $7,591.76 |
$-256.24 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $30.72 | 247 | $7,587.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:35am ET | $29.80 | 247 | $7,359.37 | $7,363.29 |
$-228.47 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 12:35pm ET | $29.62 | 248 | $7,344.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 2:30pm ET | $28.73 | 248 | $7,123.80 | $7,142.57 |
$-220.72 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 2:30pm ET | $27.61 | 258 | $7,122.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.61 | 258 | $6,864.09 | $6,884.57 |
$-258.00 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 9:55am ET | $27.00 | 254 | $6,858.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:55am ET | $27.21 | 254 | $6,910.07 | $6,936.64 |
+$52.07 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 2:30pm ET | $27.23 | 254 | $6,916.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 9:50am ET | $28.61 | 254 | $7,265.67 | $7,285.89 |
+$349.25 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $30.06 | 242 | $7,273.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET | $29.12 | 242 | $7,047.06 | $7,059.64 |
$-226.25 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 11:15am ET | $29.64 | 238 | $7,053.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.75 | 238 | $6,604.50 | $6,611.01 |
$-448.63 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.81 | 237 | $6,589.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 12:20pm ET | $29.25 | 237 | $6,931.07 | $6,952.29 |
+$341.28 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 1:15pm ET | $28.56 | 243 | $6,940.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:35am ET | $27.70 | 243 | $6,729.89 | $6,742.10 |
$-210.20 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 2:40pm ET | $28.18 | 239 | $6,735.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $29.60 | 239 | $7,073.21 | $7,080.28 |
+$338.19 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 12:05pm ET | $29.32 | 241 | $7,064.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $30.80 | 241 | $7,421.60 | $7,436.96 |
+$356.68 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:20am ET | $30.56 | 243 | $7,424.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $31.66 | 243 | $7,693.38 | $7,705.48 |
+$268.51 (+3.6%) |
📅 Sim Ended
4.2d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $31.73 | 242 | $7,677.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 2:40pm ET | $30.76 | 242 | $7,445.13 | $7,473.16 |
$-232.32 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 2:50pm ET | $30.91 | 241 | $7,448.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $29.95 | 241 | $7,217.95 | $7,243.01 |
$-230.15 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.7d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 2:50pm ET | $30.91 | 241 | $7,448.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.97 | 241 | $6,980.57 | $6,775.47 |
$-467.54 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
24.7d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:00pm ET | $29.52 | 229 | $6,760.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:25am ET | $28.63 | 229 | $6,555.13 | $6,570.51 |
$-204.96 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 12:05pm ET | $28.80 | 228 | $6,565.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:15am ET | $27.86 | 228 | $6,352.08 | $6,357.33 |
$-213.18 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 3:35pm ET | $27.89 | 227 | $6,329.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:20pm ET | $29.28 | 227 | $6,647.69 | $6,675.13 |
+$317.80 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:40pm ET | $29.95 | 222 | $6,648.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:00pm ET | $29.01 | 222 | $6,441.33 | $6,467.56 |
$-207.57 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 2:00pm ET | $31.77 | 203 | $6,450.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $30.29 | 203 | $6,148.87 | $6,166.11 |
$-301.45 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.43 | 224 | $6,144.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $26.60 | 224 | $5,958.40 | $5,980.19 |
$-185.92 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $26.54 | 225 | $5,971.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 11:00am ET | $25.72 | 225 | $5,787.00 | $5,795.69 |
$-184.50 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 11:10am ET | $25.16 | 230 | $5,785.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.40 | 230 | $5,612.00 | $5,622.04 |
$-173.65 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 10:50am ET | $23.92 | 235 | $5,620.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 2:15pm ET | $23.17 | 235 | $5,446.12 | $5,448.14 |
$-173.90 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 12:10pm ET | $23.90 | 228 | $5,448.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $23.13 | 228 | $5,272.50 | $5,272.58 |
$-175.56 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:10pm ET | $22.57 | 233 | $5,257.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.05 | 233 | $6,302.18 | $6,317.12 |
+$1,044.54 (+19.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $24.14 | 261 | $6,299.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $23.40 | 261 | $6,106.10 | $6,123.98 |
$-193.14 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $23.31 | 262 | $6,105.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $24.62 | 262 | $6,450.44 | $6,468.51 |
+$344.53 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $23.54 | 274 | $6,449.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 11:25am ET | $22.83 | 274 | $6,254.05 | $6,272.60 |
$-195.91 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 12:00pm ET | $22.14 | 283 | $6,264.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 1:25pm ET | $23.25 | 283 | $6,581.16 | $6,589.56 |
+$316.96 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 3:15pm ET | $23.99 | 274 | $6,573.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 2:00pm ET | $25.19 | 274 | $6,902.06 | $6,918.36 |
+$328.80 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.16 | 274 | $6,893.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 11:40am ET | $26.44 | 274 | $7,243.44 | $7,267.96 |
+$349.60 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 11:40am ET | $25.68 | 282 | $7,243.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 11:05am ET | $27.02 | 282 | $7,619.61 | $7,644.40 |
+$376.44 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $26.34 | 290 | $7,638.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $25.44 | 290 | $7,377.60 | $7,383.40 |
$-261.00 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 11:35am ET | $24.91 | 296 | $7,373.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 10:15am ET | $24.15 | 296 | $7,146.92 | $7,156.96 |
$-226.44 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 10:15am ET | $23.29 | 307 | $7,150.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.55 | 307 | $6,921.32 | $6,928.24 |
$-228.72 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $22.92 | 302 | $6,923.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $22.17 | 302 | $6,696.85 | $6,701.74 |
$-226.50 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$6,701.74
Net Profit/Loss:
$-3,298.26
Total Return:
-32.98%