Compendium › Marcus Reversal › COST
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COST
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 26 trades in period

-10.48%
Last Year Return
$13,851.74
Current Value
35%
Win Rate
$15,473.15
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:04:14

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
68.2 neutral
20d Trend
+5.1%
5d Trend
+5.5%
EMA20 Dist
+3.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.9/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
2.4/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 28.8/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 26.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
22,588
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$15,473.15
Current Value
$13,851.74
Period P&L
$-1,621.40
Max Drawdown
-19.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
9 / 17
Best Trade
+5.60%
Worst Trade
-4.48%
Avg Trade Return
-0.39%
Avg Hold Time
12.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$766,732.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,621.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,621.40
Gross Return
-10.48%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COST Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $15,473.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 1:45pm ET $955.11 16 $15,281.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 9:30am ET $912.31 16 $14,596.96 $14,928.18 $-684.80
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET $911.72 16 $14,587.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 9:40am ET $960.48 16 $15,367.63 $15,708.29 +$780.11
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
16d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 9:40am ET $947.39 16 $15,158.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 9:30am ET $916.65 16 $14,666.40 $15,216.45 $-491.84
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET $913.63 16 $14,618.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:40am ET $883.93 16 $14,142.88 $14,741.24 $-475.21
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:10am ET $895.63 16 $14,330.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 1:00pm ET $868.00 16 $13,888.02 $14,299.18 $-442.06
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 1:00pm ET $855.91 16 $13,694.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $899.00 16 $14,384.00 $14,988.70 +$689.52
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 2:05pm ET $925.61 16 $14,809.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:05am ET $972.18 16 $15,554.80 $15,733.74 +$745.04
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:05am ET $973.33 16 $15,573.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:40am ET $940.68 16 $15,050.88 $15,211.42 $-522.32
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:45pm ET $982.92 15 $14,743.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $997.58 15 $14,963.70 $15,431.39 +$219.97
(+1.5%) 		📅 Sim Ended
6.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:40am ET $1,013.26 15 $15,198.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET $979.16 15 $14,687.43 $14,919.86 $-511.53
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET $981.66 15 $14,724.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:35am ET $973.19 15 $14,597.85 $14,792.81 $-127.05
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 2:50pm ET $983.00 15 $14,745.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:00am ET $1,033.57 15 $15,503.62 $15,551.43 +$758.62
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:00am ET $1,009.13 15 $15,136.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $974.01 15 $14,610.15 $15,024.63 $-526.80
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $970.03 15 $14,550.45 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $1,021.20 15 $15,317.93 $15,792.10 +$767.47
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
16d held
15 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 1:10pm ET $1,010.94 15 $15,164.10 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:45am ET $1,063.54 15 $15,953.03 $16,581.02 +$788.92
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held
16 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 1:25pm ET $1,089.22 15 $16,338.37 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:35am ET $1,044.43 15 $15,666.45 $15,909.10 $-671.92
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
17 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:45am ET $1,038.32 15 $15,574.87 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:50am ET $1,001.01 15 $15,015.08 $15,349.30 $-559.80
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
18 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:50am ET $1,004.57 15 $15,068.55 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:35am ET $973.12 15 $14,596.80 $14,877.55 $-471.75
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:30am ET $947.62 15 $14,214.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:00am ET $996.83 15 $14,952.38 $15,615.63 +$738.08
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:10pm ET $973.50 16 $15,576.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:00am ET $943.60 16 $15,097.68 $15,137.31 $-478.32
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $960.80 15 $14,412.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:45am ET $931.38 15 $13,970.70 $14,696.01 $-441.30
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:15pm ET $942.20 15 $14,133.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 10:30am ET $913.42 15 $13,701.30 $14,264.31 $-431.70
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:40am ET $923.51 15 $13,852.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $975.21 15 $14,628.15 $15,039.89 +$775.58
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14d held
24 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 1:15pm ET $973.91 15 $14,608.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $940.42 15 $14,106.30 $14,537.47 $-502.42
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:40am ET $950.58 15 $14,258.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 10:40am ET $934.37 15 $14,015.55 $14,294.39 $-243.08
(-1.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $926.19 15 $13,892.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 10:05am ET $896.68 15 $13,450.20 $13,851.74 $-442.65
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,851.74
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,851.74
Total Return: +38.52%
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