Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:30:47

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

56
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
27.5/35
Total Return
19.0/25
Win Rate
3.4/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 58.5/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 56.3

30-Day Momentum

3
-10.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-53 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,775
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$21,486.66
Current Value
$29,474.22
Period P&L
$7,987.56
Max Drawdown
-24.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
57
Winners / Losers
28 / 29
Best Trade
+7.72%
Worst Trade
-11.36%
Avg Trade Return
+0.74%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,731,024.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$7,987.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$7,987.56
Gross Return
+37.17%
Net Return (after fees)
+37.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 57 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $21,486.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 10:50am ET $479.63 43 $20,624.09
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 10:25am ET $503.92 43 $21,668.71 $21,762.42 +$1,044.62
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 27, 2025 12:20pm ET $502.25 43 $21,596.75
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 11:10am ET $485.41 43 $20,872.42 $21,038.09 $-724.34
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 11:40am ET $490.24 42 $20,590.08
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2025 10:10am ET $515.72 42 $21,660.03 $22,108.04 +$1,069.95
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 1:15pm ET $501.72 44 $22,075.48
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 9:35am ET $484.91 44 $21,336.04 $21,368.60 $-739.44
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2025 9:35am ET $470.78 45 $21,185.10
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 1:50pm ET $456.38 45 $20,537.10 $20,720.60 $-648.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 1:50pm ET $446.93 46 $20,558.55
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 10:30am ET $432.86 46 $19,911.56 $20,073.61 $-646.99
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 10:45am ET $425.57 47 $20,001.79
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 10:05am ET $412.45 47 $19,385.15 $19,456.97 $-616.64
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 12:10pm ET $419.68 46 $19,305.28
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 1:40pm ET $441.16 46 $20,293.36 $20,445.05 +$988.08
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 1:55pm ET $426.22 47 $20,032.34
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 9:35am ET $412.88 47 $19,405.36 $19,818.07 $-626.98
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 9:35am ET $407.75 48 $19,572.00
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2025 3:00pm ET $428.20 48 $20,553.60 $20,799.67 +$981.60
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2025 12:25pm ET $426.85 48 $20,488.80
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 10:00am ET $448.61 48 $21,533.28 $21,844.15 +$1,044.48
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 3:45pm ET $444.57 49 $21,783.93
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET $476.48 49 $23,347.52 $23,407.74 +$1,563.59
(+7.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 11:00am ET $498.08 46 $22,911.80
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 1:35pm ET $482.87 46 $22,212.02 $22,707.96 $-699.78
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2025 3:35pm ET $474.84 47 $22,317.48
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 3:50pm ET $499.50 47 $23,476.50 $23,866.98 +$1,159.02
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
15 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 10:10am ET $487.99 48 $23,423.60
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 9:30am ET $514.59 48 $24,700.24 $25,143.62 +$1,276.64
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
16 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $495.64 50 $24,781.75
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 11:45am ET $479.89 50 $23,994.55 $24,356.42 $-787.20
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 9:30am ET $499.27 48 $23,964.96
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 9:30am ET $532.78 48 $25,573.44 $25,964.90 +$1,608.48
(+6.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
18 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 12:45pm ET $543.76 47 $25,556.49
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 10:15am ET $526.88 47 $24,763.36 $25,171.77 $-793.13
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $531.41 47 $24,976.27
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 3:40pm ET $558.35 47 $26,242.45 $26,437.95 +$1,266.18
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.3d held
20 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 11:45am ET $547.34 48 $26,272.32
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 1:00pm ET $530.00 48 $25,440.00 $25,605.63 $-832.32
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 3:40pm ET $538.62 47 $25,315.14
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:40am ET $520.81 47 $24,478.07 $24,768.56 $-837.07
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 11:10am ET $517.34 47 $24,314.93
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 2:00pm ET $501.41 47 $23,566.27 $24,019.90 $-748.66
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 3:30pm ET $491.77 48 $23,604.96
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 9:45am ET $517.03 48 $24,817.44 $25,232.38 +$1,212.48
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.8d held
24 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 9:45am ET $493.70 51 $25,178.56
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 3:45pm ET $519.99 51 $26,519.49 $26,573.31 +$1,340.93
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
6h held
25 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 3:50pm ET $512.31 51 $26,127.81
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 10:20am ET $495.68 51 $25,279.87 $25,725.37 $-847.94
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held
26 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:15am ET $482.56 53 $25,575.68
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET $466.66 53 $24,732.98 $24,882.67 $-842.70
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16d held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:55am ET $463.68 53 $24,575.04
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:45am ET $447.14 53 $23,698.16 $24,005.79 $-876.89
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.9d held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:45am ET $445.49 53 $23,610.97
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 12:35pm ET $467.90 53 $24,798.70 $25,193.52 +$1,187.73
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:55pm ET $477.51 52 $24,830.26
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $447.43 52 $23,266.10 $23,629.36 $-1,564.16
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:00pm ET $440.50 53 $23,346.50
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET $424.29 53 $22,487.37 $22,770.23 $-859.13
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:50am ET $405.24 56 $22,693.44
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:25pm ET $392.85 56 $21,999.60 $22,076.39 $-693.84
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $422.11 52 $21,949.72
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET $409.42 52 $21,289.58 $21,416.25 $-660.14
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $424.16 50 $21,208.00
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $402.72 50 $20,136.00 $20,344.25 $-1,072.00
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 2:20pm ET $345.13 58 $20,017.80
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 2:35pm ET $362.60 58 $21,030.80 $21,357.26 +$1,013.01
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $368.35 57 $20,995.95
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 11:25am ET $387.15 57 $22,067.61 $22,428.92 +$1,071.66
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
36 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 11:00am ET $420.15 53 $22,267.95
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $445.55 53 $23,614.15 $23,775.12 +$1,346.20
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
37 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:50am ET $438.63 54 $23,686.02
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $424.82 54 $22,940.40 $23,029.50 $-745.62
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 11:00am ET $433.75 53 $22,988.75
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $416.44 53 $22,071.32 $22,112.07 $-917.43
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
39 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:25pm ET $411.16 53 $21,791.48
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $394.80 53 $20,924.40 $21,244.99 $-867.08
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:20am ET $389.14 54 $21,013.29
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $370.43 54 $20,003.22 $20,234.92 $-1,010.07
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET $385.16 52 $20,028.32
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:40pm ET $405.98 52 $21,110.96 $21,317.56 +$1,082.64
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $415.58 51 $21,194.83
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:05am ET $403.01 51 $20,553.52 $20,676.24 $-641.32
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:05am ET $365.91 56 $20,490.96
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET $387.05 56 $21,675.08 $21,860.36 +$1,184.12
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:45am ET $400.92 54 $21,649.95
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $422.51 54 $22,815.32 $23,025.74 +$1,165.38
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:40am ET $423.57 54 $22,872.78
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET $446.24 54 $24,096.96 $24,249.92 +$1,224.18
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
46 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $448.74 54 $24,231.97
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:50am ET $471.34 54 $25,452.36 $25,470.31 +$1,220.39
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.1d held
47 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $465.85 54 $25,155.90
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:35am ET $491.83 54 $26,558.82 $26,873.23 +$1,402.92
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
48 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:40am ET $495.69 54 $26,767.26
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $522.13 54 $28,195.02 $28,300.99 +$1,427.76
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
49 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 3:40pm ET $546.79 51 $27,886.19
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 11:05am ET $575.12 51 $29,331.35 $29,746.15 +$1,445.16
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
50 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $589.34 50 $29,466.75
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $619.07 50 $30,953.50 $31,232.90 +$1,486.75
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.3h held
51 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 3:50pm ET $617.48 50 $30,874.25
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $648.76 50 $32,438.00 $32,796.65 +$1,563.75
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
52 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 1:10pm ET $667.43 49 $32,704.07
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $638.00 49 $31,262.00 $31,354.58 $-1,442.07
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
53 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $645.08 48 $30,963.84
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $694.87 48 $33,353.76 $33,744.50 +$2,389.92
(+7.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
54 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $764.85 44 $33,653.40
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $678.00 44 $29,832.00 $29,923.10 $-3,821.40
(-11.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
55 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $696.59 42 $29,256.78
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:45pm ET $675.41 42 $28,367.22 $29,033.54 $-889.56
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
56 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $655.01 44 $28,820.44
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $632.79 44 $27,842.76 $28,055.86 $-977.68
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
57 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:30am ET $651.28 43 $28,005.25
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 12:00pm ET $684.27 43 $29,423.61 $29,474.22 +$1,418.36
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $29,474.22
Net Profit/Loss: +$19,474.22
Total Return: +194.74%
Back to Marcus Reversal