CVX Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 34 trades in period
+36.23%
Last Year Return
$16,887.15
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$12,395.78
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
43
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
17.8/35
Total Return
15.3/25
Win Rate
4.0/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
46.3/100
× Confidence 0.94
= 43.4
30-Day Momentum
0
-1.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-43 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,245
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$12,395.78
Current Value
$16,887.15
Period P&L
$4,491.38
Max Drawdown
-13.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
17 /
17
Best Trade
+10.09%
Worst Trade
-5.13%
Avg Trade Return
+1.03%
Avg Hold Time
8.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,002,024.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,491.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,491.38
Gross Return
+36.23%
Net Return (after fees)
+36.23%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,395.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $157.49 | 78 | $12,283.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 9:45am ET | $152.50 | 78 | $11,895.00 | $11,983.14 |
$-388.83 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 1:20pm ET | $154.04 | 77 | $11,861.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:55am ET | $149.36 | 77 | $11,500.72 | $11,622.78 |
$-360.36 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 2:50pm ET | $151.21 | 76 | $11,491.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 10:45am ET | $158.82 | 76 | $12,069.94 | $12,200.76 |
+$577.98 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 12:50pm ET | $155.35 | 78 | $12,117.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 9:45am ET | $150.48 | 78 | $11,737.44 | $11,820.90 |
$-379.86 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:25am ET | $151.74 | 77 | $11,683.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 10:00am ET | $147.13 | 77 | $11,329.01 | $11,465.93 |
$-354.97 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 1:25pm ET | $148.55 | 77 | $11,438.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $163.53 | 77 | $12,591.80 | $12,619.69 |
+$1,153.76 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $163.46 | 77 | $12,586.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 11:40am ET | $158.49 | 77 | $12,203.73 | $12,237.00 |
$-382.69 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 12:15pm ET | $155.83 | 78 | $12,154.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $163.70 | 78 | $12,768.60 | $12,850.86 |
+$613.86 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:45pm ET | $167.07 | 76 | $12,696.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 2:15pm ET | $175.76 | 76 | $13,357.76 | $13,511.68 |
+$660.82 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 3:40pm ET | $174.42 | 77 | $13,430.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $182.67 | 77 | $14,065.59 | $14,146.93 |
+$635.25 (+4.7%) |
📅 Sim Ended
7d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $181.70 | 77 | $13,990.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 11:20am ET | $191.14 | 77 | $14,717.78 | $14,873.81 |
+$726.88 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 2:05pm ET | $185.24 | 80 | $14,819.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:15am ET | $194.61 | 80 | $15,568.80 | $15,623.41 |
+$749.60 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET | $195.04 | 80 | $15,603.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 11:35am ET | $204.88 | 80 | $16,390.40 | $16,410.61 |
+$787.20 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:30pm ET | $203.79 | 80 | $16,303.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $214.07 | 80 | $17,125.44 | $17,232.85 |
+$822.24 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 12:05pm ET | $211.58 | 81 | $17,137.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET | $204.36 | 81 | $16,553.16 | $16,648.02 |
$-584.83 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:20pm ET | $195.50 | 85 | $16,617.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $188.88 | 85 | $16,054.80 | $16,085.32 |
$-562.70 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:05am ET | $195.08 | 82 | $15,996.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $188.32 | 82 | $15,442.24 | $15,531.01 |
$-554.31 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $189.79 | 81 | $15,372.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $181.86 | 81 | $14,730.66 | $14,888.68 |
$-642.33 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:35am ET | $184.45 | 80 | $14,756.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 12:20pm ET | $193.68 | 80 | $15,494.40 | $15,627.08 |
+$738.40 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:20pm ET | $190.24 | 82 | $15,599.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $184.19 | 82 | $15,103.58 | $15,130.98 |
$-496.10 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 10:10am ET | $180.30 | 83 | $14,964.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:55am ET | $189.41 | 83 | $15,721.03 | $15,887.11 |
+$756.13 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 11:35am ET | $194.39 | 81 | $15,745.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $188.19 | 81 | $15,243.39 | $15,384.91 |
$-502.20 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $181.52 | 84 | $15,247.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 11:35am ET | $190.71 | 84 | $16,019.64 | $16,156.87 |
+$771.96 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 3:30pm ET | $188.57 | 85 | $16,028.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $178.90 | 85 | $15,206.50 | $15,334.92 |
$-821.95 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.64 | 85 | $15,269.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $173.66 | 85 | $14,761.10 | $14,826.61 |
$-508.31 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 1:45pm ET | $174.52 | 84 | $14,659.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 10:30am ET | $169.20 | 84 | $14,212.80 | $14,379.73 |
$-446.88 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $167.84 | 85 | $14,265.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $178.00 | 85 | $15,130.00 | $15,243.75 |
+$864.02 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $174.55 | 87 | $15,185.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $183.40 | 87 | $15,956.23 | $16,014.13 |
+$770.38 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 10:50am ET | $186.49 | 85 | $15,851.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $196.09 | 85 | $16,667.81 | $16,830.29 |
+$816.16 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $194.21 | 86 | $16,701.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 11:40am ET | $187.73 | 86 | $16,144.78 | $16,273.44 |
$-556.85 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 1:45pm ET | $191.64 | 84 | $16,097.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 12:50pm ET | $201.23 | 84 | $16,903.32 | $17,079.00 |
+$805.56 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 11:00am ET | $203.95 | 83 | $16,927.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 10:55am ET | $197.82 | 83 | $16,419.47 | $16,570.63 |
$-508.38 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 2:55pm ET | $201.32 | 82 | $16,507.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $211.74 | 82 | $17,362.68 | $17,425.48 |
+$854.85 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 1:50pm ET | $211.69 | 82 | $17,358.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $205.13 | 82 | $16,820.25 | $16,887.15 |
$-538.33 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$16,887.15
Net Profit/Loss:
+$6,887.15
Total Return:
+68.87%