Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:32:28

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 4.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

3
-9.9%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,995
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,744.25
Current Value
$6,635.83
Period P&L
$-3,108.40
Max Drawdown
-50.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
69
Winners / Losers
24 / 45
Best Trade
+6.57%
Worst Trade
-6.53%
Avg Trade Return
-0.41%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,092,116.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,108.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,108.40
Gross Return
-31.90%
Net Return (after fees)
-31.90%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 69 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $9,744.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2025 12:45pm ET $40.31 232 $9,351.92
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 10:10am ET $42.35 232 $9,825.20 $9,825.41 +$473.28
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 11:05am ET $42.93 228 $9,788.04
🔴 SELL Jun 27, 2025 9:30am ET $41.58 228 $9,480.24 $9,517.61 $-307.80
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2025 11:00am ET $42.81 222 $9,502.71
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2025 9:30am ET $40.01 222 $8,882.22 $8,897.12 $-620.49
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 3, 2025 9:45am ET $40.68 218 $8,868.24
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2025 11:55am ET $42.76 218 $9,321.68 $9,350.56 +$453.44
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2025 10:35am ET $43.90 212 $9,306.80
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 9:40am ET $46.56 212 $9,870.72 $9,914.48 +$563.92
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
27d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 9:40am ET $43.41 228 $9,897.48
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 10:35am ET $45.69 228 $10,417.32 $10,434.32 +$519.84
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2025 11:30am ET $45.95 227 $10,430.65
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2025 10:05am ET $48.28 227 $10,959.56 $10,963.23 +$528.91
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2025 12:00pm ET $47.96 228 $10,934.88
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2025 10:25am ET $46.41 228 $10,580.34 $10,608.69 $-354.54
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 10:40am ET $46.41 228 $10,581.48
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2025 10:15am ET $44.87 228 $10,230.36 $10,257.57 $-351.12
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 12, 2025 10:15am ET $43.98 233 $10,246.18
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2025 10:00am ET $42.57 233 $9,918.81 $9,930.21 $-327.37
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 10:05am ET $42.37 234 $9,913.41
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 9:30am ET $40.86 234 $9,561.36 $9,578.16 $-352.05
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
12 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 10:50am ET $36.60 261 $9,551.30
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 3:05pm ET $35.49 261 $9,262.89 $9,289.75 $-288.40
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $34.89 266 $9,280.74
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 9:30am ET $33.81 266 $8,992.18 $9,001.20 $-288.56
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
14 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2025 9:30am ET $32.70 275 $8,993.24
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 9:30am ET $34.54 275 $9,498.50 $9,506.45 +$505.26
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 9:45am ET $33.90 280 $9,493.23
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 12:50pm ET $32.75 280 $9,170.00 $9,183.22 $-323.23
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
16 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 2:00pm ET $35.21 260 $9,154.60
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $34.08 260 $8,860.80 $8,889.42 $-293.80
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $33.59 264 $8,866.44
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $32.27 264 $8,519.28 $8,542.26 $-347.16
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.7d held
18 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 9:30am ET $31.98 267 $8,537.33
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 1:15pm ET $30.89 267 $8,246.30 $8,251.23 $-291.03
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 1:15pm ET $31.59 261 $8,243.69
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 9:30am ET $30.22 261 $7,887.42 $7,894.97 $-356.27
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 1:20pm ET $30.02 262 $7,865.24
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 11:00am ET $29.04 262 $7,607.17 $7,636.90 $-258.07
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 11:00am ET $28.09 271 $7,612.39
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $26.95 271 $7,303.42 $7,327.93 $-308.97
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 12:10pm ET $30.90 237 $7,323.30
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 10:35am ET $29.82 237 $7,067.34 $7,071.97 $-255.96
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 12:45pm ET $29.59 239 $7,070.82
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 3:30pm ET $28.63 239 $6,841.38 $6,842.53 $-229.44
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 3:45pm ET $29.35 233 $6,837.39
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 11:05am ET $30.88 233 $7,193.88 $7,199.02 +$356.49
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
25 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 2:55pm ET $32.70 220 $7,192.90
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 9:35am ET $34.38 220 $7,562.50 $7,568.62 +$369.60
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
26 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 10:00am ET $34.12 221 $7,540.52
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $36.20 221 $8,000.20 $8,028.30 +$459.68
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
27 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $35.26 227 $8,004.02
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 3:40pm ET $34.19 227 $7,761.13 $7,785.41 $-242.89
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held
28 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 2:45pm ET $34.23 227 $7,770.21
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:55am ET $36.07 227 $8,187.89 $8,203.09 +$417.68
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
16.8d held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:40am ET $36.23 226 $8,187.98
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $35.08 226 $7,928.08 $7,943.19 $-259.90
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $36.06 220 $7,933.20
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $34.53 220 $7,595.50 $7,605.49 $-337.70
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:30am ET $34.18 222 $7,587.96
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 11:00am ET $35.97 222 $7,985.34 $8,002.87 +$397.38
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 1:40pm ET $32.60 245 $7,985.78
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:45am ET $31.40 245 $7,691.78 $7,708.87 $-294.00
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:25am ET $31.78 242 $7,689.55
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 11:25am ET $30.79 242 $7,449.97 $7,469.29 $-239.58
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
34 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 11:25am ET $30.34 246 $7,462.41
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 2:50pm ET $29.42 246 $7,237.32 $7,244.20 $-225.09
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
35 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $27.44 264 $7,244.16
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:25am ET $26.61 264 $7,026.36 $7,026.40 $-217.80
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:05pm ET $27.42 256 $7,018.24
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET $26.32 256 $6,737.92 $6,746.08 $-280.32
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $26.78 251 $6,721.78
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $27.14 251 $6,810.89 $6,835.18 +$89.10
(+1.3%)
📅 Sim Ended
3.1d held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:35am ET $21.22 322 $6,832.84
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:40am ET $22.35 322 $7,196.70 $7,199.04 +$363.86
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:05pm ET $23.33 308 $7,184.10
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:40am ET $22.62 308 $6,966.96 $6,981.90 $-217.14
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:50am ET $22.12 315 $6,967.80
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 10:35am ET $21.36 315 $6,729.97 $6,744.07 $-237.83
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 11:45am ET $22.77 296 $6,739.92
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 2:25pm ET $23.91 296 $7,077.36 $7,081.51 +$337.44
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 3:45pm ET $24.40 290 $7,074.55
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $25.81 290 $7,484.90 $7,491.86 +$410.35
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $24.70 303 $7,485.61
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:00am ET $26.05 303 $7,893.15 $7,899.39 +$407.53
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 12:00pm ET $26.18 301 $7,880.18
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $25.12 301 $7,561.12 $7,580.33 $-319.06
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $25.26 300 $7,578.03
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:20am ET $24.45 300 $7,335.00 $7,337.31 $-243.03
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:15am ET $24.51 299 $7,329.98
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $23.45 299 $7,011.55 $7,018.88 $-318.43
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:55am ET $22.89 306 $7,002.81
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $22.10 306 $6,762.60 $6,778.67 $-240.21
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:25am ET $21.25 318 $6,757.50
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $20.58 318 $6,546.03 $6,567.20 $-211.47
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 12:30pm ET $21.18 309 $6,546.16
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET $22.32 309 $6,896.88 $6,917.92 +$350.72
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held
50 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:30am ET $22.74 304 $6,912.96
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:00am ET $23.91 304 $7,267.12 $7,272.08 +$354.16
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:00am ET $22.70 320 $7,264.00
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:50am ET $22.01 320 $7,043.20 $7,051.28 $-220.80
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 2:20pm ET $22.58 312 $7,046.52
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET $23.73 312 $7,402.20 $7,406.96 +$355.68
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 12:25pm ET $23.50 315 $7,402.50
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $22.68 315 $7,145.77 $7,150.23 $-256.73
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:35am ET $23.18 308 $7,139.44
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:45am ET $22.40 308 $6,898.43 $6,909.22 $-241.01
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 12:35pm ET $22.17 311 $6,894.87
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 2:35pm ET $23.39 311 $7,274.32 $7,288.67 +$379.45
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:35pm ET $23.54 309 $7,273.86
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:25pm ET $22.83 309 $7,052.93 $7,067.73 $-220.94
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
57 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 1:55pm ET $22.91 308 $7,054.74
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $24.22 308 $7,459.76 $7,472.75 +$405.02
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
58 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $24.81 301 $7,467.81
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $26.44 301 $7,958.44 $7,963.38 +$490.63
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held
59 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $24.88 320 $7,961.60
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $24.02 320 $7,686.40 $7,688.18 $-275.20
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
60 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $24.58 312 $7,668.96
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 10:55am ET $25.87 312 $8,071.44 $8,090.66 +$402.48
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
61 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 11:15am ET $25.55 316 $8,073.80
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $24.78 316 $7,830.48 $7,847.34 $-243.32
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
62 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 11:45am ET $25.81 304 $7,846.24
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 1:25pm ET $24.98 304 $7,592.40 $7,593.50 $-253.84
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
63 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 1:35pm ET $24.39 311 $7,583.74
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:50am ET $23.64 311 $7,351.73 $7,361.49 $-232.01
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
64 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $25.89 284 $7,352.76
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $25.00 284 $7,100.00 $7,108.73 $-252.76
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
65 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:05pm ET $25.56 278 $7,105.68
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:35pm ET $24.78 278 $6,888.84 $6,891.89 $-216.84
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
66 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $26.63 258 $6,870.54
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $28.17 258 $7,267.34 $7,288.69 +$396.80
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
22h held
67 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:10am ET $29.47 247 $7,277.86
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $28.52 247 $7,044.44 $7,055.28 $-233.41
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
68 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:40am ET $28.45 247 $7,027.15
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:30am ET $27.59 247 $6,815.96 $6,844.09 $-211.19
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
69 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $25.55 267 $6,821.85
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 2:50pm ET $24.77 267 $6,613.59 $6,635.83 $-208.26
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,635.83
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,364.17
Total Return: -33.64%
Back to Marcus Reversal