Simulated with $10,000 starting capital

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.5/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
4.9/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality 38.3/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 30.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,647
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
251 days
Data Gaps
10 days with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data), 2025-12-01 (no data), 2025-12-02 (no data), 2025-12-03 (no data), 2025-12-04 (no data) ... and 5 more

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$12,373.64
Current Value
$13,925.74
Period P&L
$1,552.10
Max Drawdown
-13.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
10 / 10
Best Trade
+6.15%
Worst Trade
-3.70%
Avg Trade Return
+0.65%
Avg Hold Time
14.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$532,782.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,552.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,552.10
Gross Return
+12.54%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.54%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 KO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 251 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,373.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 12:30pm ET $66.88 185 $12,371.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 12:30pm ET $68.28 185 $12,630.88 $12,683.52 +$259.00
(+2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 11:05am ET $70.64 179 $12,644.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 11:30am ET $68.49 179 $12,259.71 $12,298.67 $-384.85
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 1:35pm ET $68.83 178 $12,250.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $73.06 178 $13,003.79 $13,051.61 +$752.94
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $69.44 187 $12,984.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:30pm ET $67.35 187 $12,593.52 $12,660.78 $-390.83
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
26.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 11:15am ET $70.46 179 $12,611.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 11:05am ET $73.98 179 $13,242.42 $13,291.76 +$630.98
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
17d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:40am ET $74.50 178 $13,260.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET $78.43 178 $13,960.54 $13,992.19 +$700.43
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:05am ET $78.61 177 $13,914.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $77.97 177 $13,801.57 $13,878.91 $-113.28
(-0.8%)
📅 Sim Ended
3.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:30am ET $78.94 175 $13,815.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $76.56 175 $13,398.02 $13,461.55 $-417.36
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $76.61 175 $13,407.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:50am ET $74.28 175 $12,999.00 $13,052.93 $-408.62
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:45am ET $75.15 173 $13,001.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $76.28 173 $13,196.44 $13,247.56 +$194.63
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
31.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:20pm ET $79.76 166 $13,240.18 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 1:20pm ET $80.58 166 $13,377.11 $13,384.49 +$136.93
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
12 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:55pm ET $79.43 168 $13,343.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:30pm ET $77.04 168 $12,942.72 $12,983.81 $-400.68
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:45pm ET $79.70 162 $12,911.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $83.82 162 $13,578.03 $13,650.44 +$666.63
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:50am ET $83.61 163 $13,627.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $80.51 163 $13,123.13 $13,145.95 $-504.49
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET $80.13 164 $13,141.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $84.19 164 $13,807.98 $13,812.61 +$666.66
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:30am ET $84.71 163 $13,806.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:40am ET $81.73 163 $13,321.99 $13,327.69 $-484.92
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $83.36 159 $13,254.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $88.29 159 $14,038.90 $14,111.64 +$783.95
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 12:35pm ET $89.77 157 $14,093.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $86.98 157 $13,655.86 $13,673.59 $-438.05
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:40am ET $86.96 157 $13,652.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 11:15am ET $91.36 157 $14,344.30 $14,365.17 +$691.58
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
17d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 11:25am ET $90.54 158 $14,305.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $87.76 158 $13,865.89 $13,925.74 $-439.43
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,925.74
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,925.74
Total Return: +39.26%
Back to Marcus Reversal