MRK Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 32 trades in period
+28.22%
Last Year Return
$8,386.97
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$6,540.88
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.18%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality
4.7/100
× Confidence 0.88
= 4.1
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
22,739
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$6,540.88
Current Value
$8,386.97
Period P&L
$1,846.10
Max Drawdown
-45.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
15 /
17
Best Trade
+8.78%
Worst Trade
-5.25%
Avg Trade Return
+0.83%
Avg Hold Time
9.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$496,535.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,846.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,846.10
Gross Return
+28.22%
Net Return (after fees)
+28.22%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $6,540.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2025 12:40pm ET | $81.64 | 81 | $6,612.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 10:10am ET | $79.12 | 81 | $6,408.72 | $6,470.41 |
$-204.12 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 10:50am ET | $77.95 | 83 | $6,469.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 12:30pm ET | $82.08 | 83 | $6,812.73 | $6,813.29 |
+$342.88 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 10:40am ET | $88.76 | 76 | $6,745.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 3:10pm ET | $85.98 | 76 | $6,534.48 | $6,602.09 |
$-211.20 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 11:25am ET | $84.49 | 78 | $6,589.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 9:50am ET | $88.79 | 78 | $6,925.62 | $6,937.88 |
+$335.79 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
28d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 10:50am ET | $91.30 | 75 | $6,847.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 9:55am ET | $95.99 | 75 | $7,199.36 | $7,289.74 |
+$351.86 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 11:10am ET | $96.16 | 75 | $7,212.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:35am ET | $101.19 | 75 | $7,588.88 | $7,666.62 |
+$376.88 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 1:40pm ET | $105.18 | 72 | $7,572.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 3:50pm ET | $102.02 | 72 | $7,345.08 | $7,439.10 |
$-227.52 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 10:45am ET | $101.96 | 72 | $7,341.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:35am ET | $98.34 | 72 | $7,080.48 | $7,178.46 |
$-260.64 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 10:40am ET | $98.22 | 73 | $7,170.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 11:10am ET | $103.24 | 73 | $7,536.52 | $7,544.92 |
+$366.46 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 10:45am ET | $106.18 | 71 | $7,538.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $111.52 | 71 | $7,917.92 | $7,924.41 |
+$379.50 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:40am ET | $111.09 | 71 | $7,887.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $107.70 | 71 | $7,646.70 | $7,683.72 |
$-240.69 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:55am ET | $108.67 | 70 | $7,606.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $118.21 | 70 | $8,274.70 | $8,351.87 |
+$668.15 (+8.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 3:50pm ET | $118.16 | 70 | $8,271.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $117.45 | 70 | $8,221.27 | $8,301.94 |
$-49.93 (-0.6%) |
📅 Sim Ended
5d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:05am ET | $121.44 | 68 | $8,258.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $117.13 | 68 | $7,964.84 | $8,008.52 |
$-293.42 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:05am ET | $121.44 | 68 | $8,258.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $115.07 | 68 | $7,824.42 | $7,574.68 |
$-433.84 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
33.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.86 | 65 | $7,465.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 11:15am ET | $120.62 | 65 | $7,840.30 | $7,949.08 |
+$374.40 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 11:15am ET | $118.73 | 66 | $7,836.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $114.76 | 66 | $7,574.15 | $7,687.05 |
$-262.03 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:40am ET | $112.15 | 68 | $7,626.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $108.22 | 68 | $7,358.96 | $7,419.81 |
$-267.24 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $108.99 | 68 | $7,411.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:20am ET | $114.46 | 68 | $7,783.28 | $7,791.77 |
+$371.96 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:05am ET | $113.31 | 68 | $7,704.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $120.86 | 68 | $8,218.48 | $8,305.51 |
+$513.74 (+6.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $121.46 | 68 | $8,258.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $116.52 | 68 | $7,923.36 | $7,969.93 |
$-335.58 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 10:55am ET | $115.60 | 68 | $7,860.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $121.54 | 68 | $8,264.50 | $8,373.97 |
+$404.04 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 11:25am ET | $121.24 | 69 | $8,365.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 11:50am ET | $117.50 | 69 | $8,107.50 | $8,115.91 |
$-258.06 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 3:50pm ET | $121.28 | 66 | $8,004.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $115.21 | 66 | $7,603.86 | $7,715.29 |
$-400.62 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $114.06 | 67 | $7,642.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $121.37 | 67 | $8,131.79 | $8,205.06 |
+$489.77 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 1:05pm ET | $123.52 | 66 | $8,152.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 3:30pm ET | $129.81 | 66 | $8,567.46 | $8,620.20 |
+$415.14 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 3:30pm ET | $128.22 | 67 | $8,590.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $124.00 | 67 | $8,308.00 | $8,337.46 |
$-282.74 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $121.82 | 68 | $8,283.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 10:55am ET | $127.95 | 68 | $8,700.60 | $8,754.30 |
+$416.84 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 11:50am ET | $129.87 | 67 | $8,701.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 11:35am ET | $125.95 | 67 | $8,438.65 | $8,491.66 |
$-262.64 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 12:35pm ET | $131.63 | 64 | $8,424.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 10:35am ET | $127.47 | 64 | $8,158.08 | $8,225.10 |
$-266.56 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 1:50pm ET | $130.62 | 62 | $8,098.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $137.51 | 62 | $8,525.93 | $8,652.59 |
+$427.49 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $150.93 | 57 | $8,603.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.27 | 57 | $8,337.39 | $8,386.97 |
$-265.62 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,386.97
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,613.03
Total Return:
-16.13%