Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:58:51

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
56.4 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+0.2%
EMA20 Dist
+1.5%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
77%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 5.5/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 5.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,078
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$8,981.02
Current Value
$9,270.19
Period P&L
$289.17
Max Drawdown
-23.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
10 / 13
Best Trade
+5.91%
Worst Trade
-3.39%
Avg Trade Return
+0.30%
Avg Hold Time
14d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$408,712.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$289.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$289.17
Gross Return
+3.22%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.22%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PFE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $8,981.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 12:00pm ET $23.71 370 $8,772.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 12:25pm ET $24.94 370 $9,225.95 $9,245.56 +$453.29
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 3:50pm ET $27.14 340 $9,225.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 9:35am ET $26.22 340 $8,913.10 $8,932.76 $-312.80
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2025 11:00am ET $26.03 343 $8,926.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 3:25pm ET $25.22 343 $8,650.46 $8,656.65 $-276.12
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 3:25pm ET $24.70 350 $8,643.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $24.84 350 $8,692.25 $8,705.65 +$49.00
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 3:05pm ET $25.80 337 $8,695.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 11:30am ET $25.01 337 $8,427.33 $8,437.23 $-268.42
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:35am ET $24.52 344 $8,433.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:35am ET $25.75 344 $8,858.86 $8,862.93 +$425.70
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 12:20pm ET $25.72 344 $8,847.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 2:35pm ET $24.95 344 $8,581.08 $8,596.29 $-266.63
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 11:40am ET $24.95 344 $8,581.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:15am ET $26.23 344 $9,021.40 $9,036.61 +$440.32
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
26.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:15am ET $25.56 353 $9,020.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:45am ET $26.86 353 $9,481.16 $9,496.86 +$460.24
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $26.94 352 $9,484.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $27.07 352 $9,528.64 $9,540.86 +$44.00
(+0.5%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:50am ET $27.33 349 $9,537.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:40am ET $26.45 349 $9,231.05 $9,234.23 $-306.63
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 11:05am ET $27.23 339 $9,230.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:05am ET $26.36 339 $8,937.73 $8,941.00 $-293.23
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 11:40am ET $26.41 338 $8,924.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:10am ET $27.73 338 $9,372.74 $9,388.85 +$447.85
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:50am ET $27.46 341 $9,363.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET $26.62 341 $9,077.39 $9,102.38 $-286.47
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
27d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 11:40am ET $26.75 340 $9,093.30 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:40am ET $25.89 340 $8,800.90 $8,809.98 $-292.40
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
16 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 11:30am ET $25.94 339 $8,792.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:30am ET $25.74 339 $8,724.17 $8,741.23 $-68.75
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:35am ET $26.25 333 $8,739.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET $25.43 333 $8,469.85 $8,471.50 $-269.73
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:00am ET $25.02 338 $8,458.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 11:30am ET $24.24 338 $8,191.77 $8,204.82 $-266.68
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 12:30pm ET $23.98 342 $8,199.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:55am ET $25.24 342 $8,632.08 $8,637.45 +$432.63
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 10:45am ET $25.30 341 $8,625.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:35am ET $24.53 341 $8,364.73 $8,376.59 $-260.86
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:35am ET $24.53 341 $8,364.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $25.98 341 $8,859.18 $8,871.01 +$494.42
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $26.97 328 $8,846.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:10am ET $28.33 328 $9,290.60 $9,315.42 +$444.41
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:10am ET $27.78 335 $9,307.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $27.65 335 $9,262.75 $9,270.19 $-45.23
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
32d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,270.19
Net Profit/Loss: $-729.81
Total Return: -7.30%
Back to Marcus Reversal