Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:03:56

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49 neutral
20d Trend
-0.0%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

52
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
25.6/35
Total Return
15.8/25
Win Rate
5.0/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 55.8/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 52.4

30-Day Momentum

0
-9.5%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-52 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,806
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
258 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$13,342.91
Current Value
$17,888.55
Period P&L
$4,545.66
Max Drawdown
-10.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
16 / 12
Best Trade
+5.47%
Worst Trade
-3.83%
Avg Trade Return
+1.18%
Avg Hold Time
11.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$901,604.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,545.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,545.66
Gross Return
+34.07%
Net Return (after fees)
+34.07%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SCHW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 258 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,342.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 11:25am ET $91.13 144 $13,122.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 12:35pm ET $95.71 144 $13,781.52 $13,823.13 +$658.80
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 10:50am ET $95.99 144 $13,822.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET $93.10 144 $13,406.40 $13,406.97 $-416.16
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 9:30am ET $92.43 145 $13,402.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 9:30am ET $94.18 145 $13,656.10 $13,660.72 +$253.75
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
32d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $92.22 148 $13,648.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 11:45am ET $96.89 148 $14,339.72 $14,351.88 +$691.16
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 2:20pm ET $97.51 147 $14,333.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $93.78 147 $13,785.66 $13,803.57 $-548.31
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $93.94 146 $13,715.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET $91.05 146 $13,293.30 $13,381.63 $-421.94
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 1:15pm ET $90.04 148 $13,325.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET $94.62 148 $14,003.02 $14,058.73 +$677.10
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 11:35am ET $95.13 147 $13,984.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $100.10 147 $14,714.70 $14,789.32 +$730.59
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
16.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 10:50am ET $101.26 146 $14,783.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:50am ET $104.84 146 $15,306.64 $15,312.73 +$523.41
(+3.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:55am ET $102.17 149 $15,223.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $107.04 149 $15,949.70 $16,039.10 +$726.37
(+4.8%)
📅 Sim Ended
17.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:25am ET $92.39 173 $15,983.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $97.02 173 $16,784.46 $16,840.09 +$800.99
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 3:30pm ET $95.99 175 $16,798.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $92.83 175 $16,245.25 $16,287.09 $-553.00
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET $93.44 174 $16,259.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 2:05pm ET $90.56 174 $15,757.44 $15,785.10 $-501.99
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 2:15pm ET $92.67 170 $15,753.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $97.50 170 $16,575.00 $16,606.20 +$821.10
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
26.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $94.24 176 $16,585.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:10am ET $98.97 176 $17,418.72 $17,439.56 +$833.36
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $96.69 180 $17,405.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:30pm ET $93.51 180 $16,831.80 $16,866.26 $-573.30
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:55am ET $92.73 181 $16,784.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 12:40pm ET $89.82 181 $16,257.42 $16,339.55 $-526.71
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:45pm ET $89.00 183 $16,287.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $89.71 183 $16,416.02 $16,468.57 +$129.02
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
31.8d held
19 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $88.83 185 $16,434.47 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:55am ET $85.86 185 $15,884.10 $15,918.20 $-550.37
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
20 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:20am ET $84.58 188 $15,901.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:50pm ET $88.89 188 $16,711.32 $16,727.54 +$809.34
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:40pm ET $87.52 191 $16,716.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 10:40am ET $91.90 191 $17,552.90 $17,564.12 +$836.58
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:05pm ET $92.01 190 $17,481.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:45am ET $88.96 190 $16,903.35 $16,985.57 $-578.55
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 11:30am ET $90.53 187 $16,929.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 12:15pm ET $95.48 187 $17,854.76 $17,911.22 +$925.65
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
24 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 3:40pm ET $100.60 178 $17,905.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:30am ET $105.71 178 $18,816.25 $18,821.56 +$910.34
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8d held
25 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 1:55pm ET $106.03 177 $18,767.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 10:05am ET $111.35 177 $19,708.07 $19,762.32 +$940.76
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8d held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 1:30pm ET $111.83 176 $19,682.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET $107.78 176 $18,969.28 $19,049.52 $-712.80
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $108.68 175 $19,019.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $105.42 175 $18,447.63 $18,478.15 $-571.37
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2d held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET $104.45 176 $18,383.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:20am ET $101.10 176 $17,793.60 $17,888.55 $-589.60
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,888.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,888.55
Total Return: +78.89%
Back to Marcus Reversal