Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:54:00

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.9%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.9/35
Total Return
14.5/25
Win Rate
9.4/15
Profit Factor
5.8/15
Consistency
7.2/10
Raw Quality 48.8/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 40.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,167
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$13,533.07
Current Value
$15,488.39
Period P&L
$1,955.29
Max Drawdown
-16.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.34

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
9 / 6
Best Trade
+7.19%
Worst Trade
-3.46%
Avg Trade Return
+1.17%
Avg Hold Time
22.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$420,608.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,955.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,955.29
Gross Return
+14.45%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.45%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VTI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,533.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 10:35am ET $319.68 41 $13,106.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 10:35am ET $330.41 41 $13,546.81 $13,591.73 +$439.93
(+3.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 10:55am ET $329.59 41 $13,513.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $333.46 41 $13,671.84 $13,750.38 +$158.65
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
31d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 9:40am ET $334.30 41 $13,706.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:50am ET $323.78 41 $13,274.98 $13,319.06 $-431.32
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 11:05am ET $325.11 40 $13,004.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 11:05am ET $335.74 40 $13,429.60 $13,744.26 +$425.20
(+3.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 2:00pm ET $337.37 40 $13,494.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 2:00pm ET $336.61 40 $13,464.58 $13,714.04 $-30.22
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $340.86 40 $13,634.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $342.92 40 $13,717.00 $13,796.64 +$82.60
(+0.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
18d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET $334.45 41 $13,712.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $322.86 41 $13,237.26 $13,321.65 $-474.99
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
29.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:40am ET $323.90 41 $13,279.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:50pm ET $314.14 41 $12,879.54 $12,921.29 $-400.36
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:50pm ET $311.81 41 $12,784.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $334.23 41 $13,703.52 $13,840.60 +$919.31
(+7.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:25pm ET $334.99 41 $13,734.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET $352.02 41 $14,432.82 $14,538.83 +$698.23
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $350.78 41 $14,381.98 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $369.29 41 $15,140.89 $15,297.74 +$758.91
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
28d held
12 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $369.15 41 $15,135.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $357.64 41 $14,663.24 $14,825.83 $-471.91
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $359.36 41 $14,733.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $372.49 41 $15,272.09 $15,364.16 +$538.33
(+3.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 12:15pm ET $370.49 41 $15,190.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 12:15pm ET $383.31 41 $15,715.71 $15,889.78 +$525.62
(+3.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 1:35pm ET $383.51 41 $15,723.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $373.72 41 $15,322.52 $15,488.39 $-401.39
(-2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,488.39
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,488.39
Total Return: +54.88%
Back to Marcus Reversal