VZ Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 29 trades in period
+14.31%
Last Year Return
$12,677.00
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$11,089.70
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
86 overbought
20d Trend
+20.8%
5d Trend
+7.0%
EMA20 Dist
+10.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
12.1×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
25
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
6.6/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
1.2/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
27.2/100
× Confidence 0.92
= 25.0
30-Day Momentum
0
-1.4%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,873
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$11,089.70
Current Value
$12,677.00
Period P&L
$1,587.30
Max Drawdown
-14.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
12 /
17
Best Trade
+6.72%
Worst Trade
-3.36%
Avg Trade Return
+0.48%
Avg Hold Time
11.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$681,859.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,587.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,587.30
Gross Return
+14.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.31%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VZ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 29 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $11,089.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2025 9:35am ET | $43.89 | 257 | $11,278.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $43.50 | 257 | $11,178.22 | $11,178.36 |
$-100.23 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
32d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 12:05pm ET | $43.73 | 255 | $11,151.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 10:05am ET | $42.35 | 255 | $10,797.98 | $10,825.19 |
$-353.18 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 12:40pm ET | $41.50 | 260 | $10,789.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 9:45am ET | $40.20 | 260 | $10,452.00 | $10,487.27 |
$-337.92 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 12:30pm ET | $39.75 | 263 | $10,452.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 3:20pm ET | $38.55 | 263 | $10,137.34 | $10,171.67 |
$-315.60 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 3:20pm ET | $38.66 | 263 | $10,166.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $40.87 | 263 | $10,748.81 | $10,754.21 |
+$582.54 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 9:35am ET | $39.80 | 270 | $10,747.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $40.91 | 270 | $11,044.35 | $11,051.37 |
+$297.16 (+2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
32d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $40.56 | 272 | $11,032.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.43 | 272 | $10,995.60 | $11,014.65 |
$-36.72 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
31d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.35 | 273 | $11,014.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:45am ET | $39.11 | 273 | $10,678.26 | $10,678.73 |
$-335.93 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 1:35pm ET | $39.65 | 269 | $10,664.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.31 | 269 | $11,381.39 | $11,395.61 |
+$716.89 (+6.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15.8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $44.06 | 258 | $11,368.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:35pm ET | $46.28 | 258 | $11,940.24 | $11,967.08 |
+$571.47 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 3:45pm ET | $47.15 | 253 | $11,928.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $46.91 | 253 | $11,867.60 | $11,905.73 |
$-61.35 (-0.5%) |
📅 Sim Ended
5d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $48.90 | 243 | $11,881.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $51.35 | 243 | $12,478.05 | $12,502.29 |
+$596.56 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
24d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $50.83 | 245 | $12,453.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 11:30am ET | $49.23 | 245 | $12,061.35 | $12,110.29 |
$-392.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 2:45pm ET | $50.26 | 240 | $12,062.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $48.74 | 240 | $11,698.80 | $11,746.69 |
$-363.60 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:45am ET | $47.37 | 248 | $11,746.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.78 | 248 | $11,353.44 | $11,353.61 |
$-393.08 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.67 | 254 | $11,346.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET | $46.92 | 254 | $11,916.41 | $11,923.84 |
+$570.23 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 12:55pm ET | $46.60 | 255 | $11,881.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 12:55pm ET | $48.13 | 255 | $12,274.42 | $12,316.54 |
+$392.70 (+3.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 10:00am ET | $48.01 | 256 | $12,289.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 11:30am ET | $46.56 | 256 | $11,919.36 | $11,946.62 |
$-369.92 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 11:30am ET | $45.55 | 262 | $11,934.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 10:15am ET | $47.90 | 262 | $12,549.80 | $12,562.32 |
+$615.70 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 3:45pm ET | $48.05 | 261 | $12,541.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 1:30pm ET | $46.58 | 261 | $12,157.35 | $12,178.62 |
$-383.70 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 1:35pm ET | $45.55 | 267 | $12,161.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $44.04 | 267 | $11,758.68 | $11,775.45 |
$-403.17 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $43.03 | 273 | $11,747.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 3:05pm ET | $41.69 | 273 | $11,381.10 | $11,409.36 |
$-366.09 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 10:50am ET | $41.85 | 272 | $11,383.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 11:35am ET | $43.97 | 272 | $11,959.84 | $11,986.00 |
+$576.64 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 12:00pm ET | $44.22 | 271 | $11,984.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.69 | 271 | $12,653.07 | $12,654.10 |
+$668.10 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $48.45 | 261 | $12,644.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 3:00pm ET | $46.82 | 261 | $12,220.02 | $12,229.19 |
$-424.91 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $45.60 | 268 | $12,219.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 1:15pm ET | $47.92 | 268 | $12,841.22 | $12,850.76 |
+$621.57 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 1:15pm ET | $48.37 | 265 | $12,816.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:45am ET | $50.81 | 265 | $13,463.33 | $13,497.36 |
+$646.60 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 1:20pm ET | $50.63 | 266 | $13,468.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 10:15am ET | $49.08 | 266 | $13,053.95 | $13,082.40 |
$-414.96 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 10:15am ET | $47.88 | 273 | $13,072.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 2:50pm ET | $46.40 | 273 | $12,667.20 | $12,677.00 |
$-405.40 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,677.00
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,677.00
Total Return:
+26.77%