Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:27:47

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.4/35
Total Return
16.2/25
Win Rate
4.0/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 43.8/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 40.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$18,227.75
Current Value
$18,828.54
Period P&L
$600.79
Max Drawdown
-21.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+5.36%
Worst Trade
-8.46%
Avg Trade Return
+0.74%
Avg Hold Time
11.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$250,779.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$600.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$600.79
Gross Return
+3.30%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.30%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $18,227.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 3:10pm ET $293.03 61 $17,874.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:40am ET $281.07 61 $17,145.27 $17,333.48 $-729.62
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 11:55am ET $277.27 62 $17,190.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $292.13 62 $18,112.06 $18,254.80 +$921.32
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:40pm ET $312.07 58 $18,100.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $328.06 58 $19,027.48 $19,182.24 +$927.44
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 2:15pm ET $329.62 58 $19,117.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:50am ET $319.60 58 $18,536.80 $18,601.08 $-581.16
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $332.27 55 $18,274.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $304.14 55 $16,727.70 $17,054.21 $-1,546.88
(-8.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 11:20am ET $305.20 55 $16,786.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 11:00am ET $320.64 55 $17,635.21 $17,903.42 +$849.21
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
25d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:00am ET $315.41 56 $17,662.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $331.93 56 $18,588.08 $18,828.54 +$925.12
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,828.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,828.54
Total Return: +88.29%
Back to Marcus Reversal