Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:44:09

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.0/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 33.6/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 31.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,463.12
Current Value
$14,559.06
Period P&L
$2,095.93
Max Drawdown
-17.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.46

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
6 / 4
Best Trade
+5.29%
Worst Trade
-3.15%
Avg Trade Return
+1.86%
Avg Hold Time
6.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$270,231.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,095.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,095.93
Gross Return
+16.82%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.82%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,463.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $230.63 52 $11,993.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 10:55am ET $242.56 52 $12,613.12 $12,838.57 +$620.10
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 12:35pm ET $247.25 51 $12,609.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 11:00am ET $259.87 51 $13,253.37 $13,482.19 +$643.62
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:00pm ET $255.05 52 $13,262.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:55am ET $247.17 52 $12,852.84 $13,072.43 $-409.76
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 11:00am ET $246.45 53 $13,061.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:40am ET $259.36 53 $13,746.08 $13,756.66 +$684.23
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $253.61 54 $13,694.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $266.35 54 $14,382.90 $14,444.62 +$687.96
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 3:20pm ET $263.82 54 $14,246.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 10:25am ET $255.63 54 $13,804.01 $14,002.35 $-442.27
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:25am ET $252.16 55 $13,868.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $244.23 55 $13,432.38 $13,565.93 $-436.42
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 11:15am ET $246.26 55 $13,544.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $259.01 55 $14,245.55 $14,267.18 +$701.25
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 12:35pm ET $264.65 53 $14,026.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $256.55 53 $13,596.89 $13,837.62 $-429.56
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET $252.55 54 $13,637.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $265.91 54 $14,359.14 $14,559.06 +$721.44
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
18d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,559.06
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,559.06
Total Return: +45.59%
Back to Marcus Reversal