Compendium › Marcus Reversal › AMC
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMC
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 26 trades in period

+21.56%
Last 3 Months Return
$4,912.33
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$4,041.07
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:14:28

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.6 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.1%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 4.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

5
-2.8%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 6.8 Conf: 0.78×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$4,041.07
Current Value
$4,912.33
Period P&L
$871.20
Max Drawdown
-59.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
11 / 15
Best Trade
+15.75%
Worst Trade
-8.31%
Avg Trade Return
+0.94%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$239,411.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$871.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$871.20
Gross Return
+21.56%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $4,041.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 12:05pm ET $2.12 1,910 $4,039.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $2.01 1,910 $3,829.55 $3,831.03 $-210.10
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 1:35pm ET $2.00 1,915 $3,830.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $2.19 1,915 $4,203.42 $4,204.45 +$373.42
(+9.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $2.02 2,081 $4,203.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 10:50am ET $1.96 2,081 $4,068.36 $4,069.19 $-135.26
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 12:20pm ET $1.87 2,181 $4,067.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:55am ET $1.81 2,181 $3,942.59 $3,944.22 $-124.97
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:55am ET $1.68 2,348 $3,943.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $1.61 2,348 $3,789.91 $3,790.19 $-154.03
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 10:40am ET $1.88 2,010 $3,788.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 10:55am ET $1.98 2,010 $3,979.80 $3,981.14 +$190.95
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 11:10am ET $2.04 1,951 $3,980.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 10:05am ET $1.97 1,951 $3,843.47 $3,844.57 $-136.57
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 11:10am ET $1.90 2,018 $3,844.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $2.20 2,018 $4,449.69 $4,449.97 +$605.40
(+15.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 10:25am ET $2.30 1,932 $4,448.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $2.22 1,932 $4,289.04 $4,290.97 $-159.00
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:40am ET $2.19 1,959 $4,290.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:35am ET $2.33 1,959 $4,564.47 $4,565.43 +$274.46
(+6.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $2.68 1,700 $4,564.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $3.02 1,700 $5,134.00 $5,134.93 +$569.50
(+12.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.7d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:40am ET $2.71 1,894 $5,132.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 2:00pm ET $2.62 1,894 $4,967.39 $4,969.58 $-165.35
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $2.67 1,861 $4,968.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $2.57 1,861 $4,782.96 $4,783.67 $-185.91
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 9:50am ET $2.49 1,921 $4,783.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 10:15am ET $2.41 1,921 $4,639.21 $4,639.40 $-144.27
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:20am ET $2.45 1,893 $4,637.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:35am ET $2.61 1,893 $4,931.27 $4,932.81 +$293.41
(+6.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 11:35am ET $2.55 1,935 $4,930.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $2.44 1,935 $4,722.37 $4,724.60 $-208.21
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:45am ET $2.37 1,991 $4,724.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:30am ET $2.50 1,991 $4,977.50 $4,977.66 +$253.06
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:50am ET $2.52 1,976 $4,977.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $2.68 1,976 $5,305.56 $5,306.07 +$328.41
(+6.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 11:55am ET $2.69 1,972 $5,304.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $2.61 1,972 $5,137.06 $5,138.45 $-167.62
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 11:55am ET $2.72 1,889 $5,138.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 2:40pm ET $2.63 1,889 $4,968.07 $4,968.44 $-170.01
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 11:50am ET $2.60 1,910 $4,968.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:55am ET $2.74 1,910 $5,233.40 $5,233.55 +$265.11
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $2.71 1,930 $5,230.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $2.48 1,930 $4,796.05 $4,798.72 $-434.83
(-8.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:05am ET $2.55 1,881 $4,796.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $2.45 1,881 $4,603.75 $4,605.92 $-192.80
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 12:00pm ET $2.48 1,857 $4,605.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 11:00am ET $2.64 1,857 $4,911.76 $4,912.51 +$306.59
(+6.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:40am ET $2.67 1,836 $4,911.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 11:40am ET $2.81 1,836 $5,159.16 $5,160.37 +$247.86
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:30am ET $2.91 1,773 $5,159.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:50am ET $2.77 1,773 $4,911.39 $4,912.33 $-248.04
(-4.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,912.33
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,087.67
Total Return: -50.88%
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