Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:20:36

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+0.8%
5d Trend
+3.3%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.9/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 30.4/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 28.3

30-Day Momentum

1
-12.1%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,999.11
Current Value
$14,252.71
Period P&L
$-746.38
Max Drawdown
-21.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+5.15%
Worst Trade
-3.34%
Avg Trade Return
-0.41%
Avg Hold Time
14.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$183,033.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-746.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$-746.38
Gross Return
-4.98%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.98%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BAC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $14,999.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $56.85 258 $14,667.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:45am ET $59.76 258 $15,418.08 $15,419.63 +$750.81
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:40am ET $60.12 256 $15,390.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 10:15am ET $63.22 256 $16,183.04 $16,211.95 +$792.32
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
28d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 10:40am ET $63.26 256 $16,195.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:10am ET $61.29 256 $15,690.24 $15,706.35 $-505.60
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $62.20 252 $15,674.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $60.12 252 $15,150.24 $15,182.19 $-524.16
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $59.33 255 $15,129.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $57.44 255 $14,648.47 $14,701.51 $-480.68
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $57.52 255 $14,667.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:50am ET $55.76 255 $14,218.80 $14,252.71 $-448.80
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,252.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,252.71
Total Return: +42.53%
Back to Marcus Reversal