Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:03:16

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.0/35
Total Return
7.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 14.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 14.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,051.64
Current Value
$10,429.08
Period P&L
$1,377.41
Max Drawdown
-28.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.50

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+5.70%
Worst Trade
-3.62%
Avg Trade Return
+2.12%
Avg Hold Time
10.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$166,758.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,377.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,377.41
Gross Return
+15.22%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.22%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $9,051.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 3:20pm ET $54.35 163 $8,859.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 10:20am ET $57.17 163 $9,318.71 $9,338.55 +$459.64
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 12:00pm ET $57.64 162 $9,337.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $60.85 162 $9,856.89 $9,857.76 +$519.21
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 11:05am ET $60.78 162 $9,846.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:40am ET $64.04 162 $10,374.48 $10,385.88 +$528.12
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 11:00am ET $63.27 164 $10,376.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $66.50 164 $10,906.00 $10,915.60 +$529.72
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:35am ET $63.95 170 $10,871.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $67.60 170 $11,491.15 $11,535.25 +$619.65
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET $66.86 172 $11,499.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $64.44 172 $11,083.68 $11,119.01 $-416.24
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:55am ET $64.49 172 $11,091.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:40am ET $62.49 172 $10,749.14 $10,776.73 $-342.28
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 11:55am ET $63.07 170 $10,721.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:45am ET $61.03 170 $10,374.25 $10,429.08 $-347.65
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,429.08
Net Profit/Loss: +$429.08
Total Return: +4.29%
Back to Marcus Reversal