Compendium › Marcus Reversal › BRK-B
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
BRK-B
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 4 trades in period

+2.23%
Last 3 Months Return
$13,325.63
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$13,034.67
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:01:47

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
65.5 neutral
20d Trend
+1.8%
5d Trend
+4.8%
EMA20 Dist
+2.7%
ATR%
1.4%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.4/35
Total Return
12.8/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 31.6/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 27.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,034.67
Current Value
$13,325.63
Period P&L
$290.94
Max Drawdown
-15.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+5.41%
Worst Trade
-3.03%
Avg Trade Return
+0.38%
Avg Hold Time
22.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$104,551.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$290.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$290.94
Gross Return
+2.23%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.23%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BRK-B Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,034.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 1:10pm ET $496.77 26 $12,916.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 1:10pm ET $489.42 26 $12,724.92 $12,956.95 $-191.10
(-1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $491.89 26 $12,789.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $518.48 26 $13,480.48 $13,648.29 +$691.34
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
16.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 11:10am ET $514.04 26 $13,365.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $498.48 26 $12,960.48 $13,243.73 $-404.56
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:00am ET $504.49 26 $13,116.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 11:00am ET $507.64 26 $13,198.64 $13,325.63 +$81.90
(+0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,325.63
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,325.63
Total Return: +33.26%
Back to Marcus Reversal