BTCUSD Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 30 trades in period
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
Quality Components
30-Day Momentum
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $3,118.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:50pm ET | $62,412.00 | 0 | $3,129.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $60,285.00 | 0 | $3,023.02 | $3,007.63 |
$-122.04 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET | $60,008.81 | 0 | $3,007.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET | $63,112.00 | 0 | $3,163.17 | $3,147.74 |
+$140.10 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:50pm ET | $63,864.96 | 0 | $3,147.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 8:15am ET | $67,144.00 | 0 | $3,309.35 | $3,293.21 |
+$145.47 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 7:00pm ET | $70,206.90 | 0 | $3,293.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 7, 2026 2:10am ET | $67,902.55 | 0 | $3,185.12 | $3,168.93 |
$-124.29 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2026 2:15am ET | $67,760.46 | 0 | $3,168.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 8, 2026 7:55am ET | $71,189.87 | 0 | $3,329.31 | $3,313.06 |
+$144.14 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 8, 2026 11:45am ET | $70,359.01 | 0 | $3,313.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:40am ET | $69,331.97 | 0 | $3,264.70 | $3,248.26 |
$-64.81 (-1.5%) |
📅 Sim Ended
1.5d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 12:45am ET | $69,234.61 | 0 | $3,248.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 1:05am ET | $67,074.91 | 0 | $3,146.93 | $3,146.93 |
$-117.31 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 16, 2026 12:50pm ET | $67,933.64 | 0 | $3,146.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 8:50am ET | $65,770.50 | 0 | $3,046.73 | $3,046.73 |
$-115.69 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 8:55am ET | $65,967.30 | 0 | $3,046.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 3:15pm ET | $63,946.40 | 0 | $2,953.39 | $2,953.39 |
$-108.34 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 3:20pm ET | $64,000.10 | 0 | $2,953.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 10:35am ET | $67,300.00 | 0 | $3,105.67 | $3,105.67 |
+$137.13 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 2:45pm ET | $68,906.30 | 0 | $3,105.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 10:35am ET | $66,816.30 | 0 | $3,011.47 | $3,011.47 |
$-109.49 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 11:55am ET | $66,601.30 | 0 | $3,011.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 1:30am ET | $64,548.80 | 0 | $2,918.66 | $2,918.66 |
$-107.63 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 1:35am ET | $64,100.10 | 0 | $2,918.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 5:40pm ET | $67,531.80 | 0 | $3,074.92 | $3,074.92 |
+$141.27 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 6:45pm ET | $66,897.00 | 0 | $3,074.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:50am ET | $70,626.90 | 0 | $3,246.36 | $3,246.36 |
+$155.64 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.4d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 7:20am ET | $70,782.00 | 0 | $3,246.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $68,642.10 | 0 | $3,148.22 | $3,148.22 |
$-114.13 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $68,740.30 | 0 | $3,148.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 7, 2026 11:50pm ET | $66,630.70 | 0 | $3,051.60 | $3,051.60 |
$-112.12 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 7, 2026 11:55pm ET | $66,639.00 | 0 | $3,051.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 10:30pm ET | $69,992.10 | 0 | $3,205.15 | $3,205.15 |
+$137.91 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 11:50pm ET | $69,508.70 | 0 | $3,205.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:15am ET | $73,257.40 | 0 | $3,378.00 | $3,378.00 |
+$156.40 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.4d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $72,399.60 | 0 | $3,378.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 3:10am ET | $70,017.80 | 0 | $3,266.88 | $3,266.88 |
$-127.74 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 7:20am ET | $70,782.00 | 0 | $3,246.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 22, 2026 4:30am ET | $68,618.10 | 0 | $3,147.11 | $3,167.63 |
$-115.23 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 22, 2026 4:35am ET | $68,617.20 | 0 | $3,167.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 7:00am ET | $66,494.30 | 0 | $3,069.63 | $3,069.63 |
$-113.59 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 7:05am ET | $66,412.50 | 0 | $3,069.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 5:20am ET | $69,920.30 | 0 | $3,231.76 | $3,231.76 |
+$146.38 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 7:45am ET | $69,652.70 | 0 | $3,231.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 11:25am ET | $73,286.20 | 0 | $3,400.35 | $3,400.35 |
+$152.01 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $72,772.80 | 0 | $3,400.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 12, 2026 7:35pm ET | $70,576.40 | 0 | $3,297.72 | $3,297.72 |
$-119.37 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 1:35am ET | $70,799.80 | 0 | $3,297.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 6:50pm ET | $74,352.90 | 0 | $3,463.22 | $3,463.22 |
+$148.59 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 8:15pm ET | $74,349.90 | 0 | $3,463.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 12:25pm ET | $78,210.90 | 0 | $3,643.07 | $3,643.07 |
+$162.08 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $77,217.40 | 0 | $3,643.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 19, 2026 1:55pm ET | $74,815.40 | 0 | $3,529.74 | $3,529.75 |
$-131.26 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 19, 2026 2:00pm ET | $74,824.00 | 0 | $3,529.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $78,632.40 | 0 | $3,709.41 | $3,709.41 |
+$161.56 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 12:45pm ET | $78,837.20 | 0 | $3,709.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 7:15am ET | $76,450.00 | 0 | $3,597.09 | $3,597.09 |
$-130.59 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 7:35am ET | $76,284.50 | 0 | $3,597.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 3, 2026 10:45pm ET | $80,150.50 | 0 | $3,779.39 | $3,779.39 |
+$163.85 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.6d held |