BTCUSD Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 37 trades in period
-42.34%
Last 3 Months Return
$3,146.93
Current Value
27%
Win Rate
$5,477.05
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,841
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-15
Trading Days
94 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$5,477.05
Current Value
$3,146.93
Period P&L
$-2,319.16
Max Drawdown
-78.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
10 /
27
Best Trade
+5.44%
Worst Trade
-3.82%
Avg Trade Return
-0.94%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$308,478.29
Estimated Fees
$771.20
Gross P&L
$-2,319.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,090.35
Gross Return
-42.34%
Net Return (after fees)
-56.42%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 94 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $5,477.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 1:00pm ET | $99,600.10 | 0 | $5,480.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 1:50am ET | $96,581.60 | 0 | $5,314.80 | $5,287.81 |
$-193.09 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 6:35am ET | $96,153.90 | 0 | $5,287.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 16, 2025 6:00pm ET | $93,066.90 | 0 | $5,118.05 | $5,092.04 |
$-195.78 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 7:45am ET | $95,544.00 | 0 | $5,092.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 2:10pm ET | $92,666.00 | 0 | $4,938.65 | $4,913.58 |
$-178.46 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 2:15pm ET | $92,555.00 | 0 | $4,913.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 10:30pm ET | $89,696.90 | 0 | $4,761.84 | $4,737.66 |
$-175.92 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 11:50pm ET | $89,516.50 | 0 | $4,737.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 12:30pm ET | $86,727.70 | 0 | $4,590.06 | $4,566.74 |
$-170.92 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 12:35pm ET | $86,799.00 | 0 | $4,566.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 2:30am ET | $83,481.00 | 0 | $4,392.17 | $4,369.77 |
$-196.97 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 2:35am ET | $84,181.00 | 0 | $4,369.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 7:20am ET | $81,282.00 | 0 | $4,219.29 | $4,197.81 |
$-171.96 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 7:25am ET | $81,115.00 | 0 | $4,197.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:50am ET | $85,531.00 | 0 | $4,426.35 | $4,404.79 |
+$206.97 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 10:50am ET | $83,279.00 | 0 | $4,404.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 23, 2025 2:15pm ET | $87,500.00 | 0 | $4,628.05 | $4,605.46 |
+$200.67 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 23, 2025 6:35pm ET | $86,751.99 | 0 | $4,605.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 8:55pm ET | $91,138.04 | 0 | $4,838.31 | $4,814.70 |
+$209.24 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 10:50pm ET | $91,160.01 | 0 | $4,814.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 30, 2025 7:25pm ET | $88,373.50 | 0 | $4,667.53 | $4,643.82 |
$-170.88 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 30, 2025 7:30pm ET | $87,904.00 | 0 | $4,643.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 7:45am ET | $84,785.80 | 0 | $4,479.09 | $4,456.28 |
$-187.54 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 10:10am ET | $85,609.60 | 0 | $4,456.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $90,000.00 | 0 | $4,684.82 | $4,661.97 |
+$205.68 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 3:15pm ET | $91,263.80 | 0 | $4,661.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 11:40am ET | $88,399.90 | 0 | $4,515.67 | $4,492.73 |
$-169.24 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 11:45am ET | $88,416.00 | 0 | $4,492.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 11:00am ET | $93,042.90 | 0 | $4,727.84 | $4,704.79 |
+$212.06 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 3:20pm ET | $93,000.00 | 0 | $4,704.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 9:25pm ET | $90,107.90 | 0 | $4,558.48 | $4,535.32 |
$-169.47 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 9:30pm ET | $89,978.60 | 0 | $4,535.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 10:15am ET | $87,012.10 | 0 | $4,385.80 | $4,363.49 |
$-171.83 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:20am ET | $86,680.30 | 0 | $4,363.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 3, 2026 7:05pm ET | $91,203.00 | 0 | $4,591.17 | $4,568.78 |
+$205.29 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.4d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 4, 2026 2:20am ET | $91,230.00 | 0 | $4,568.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 6:00pm ET | $95,818.20 | 0 | $4,798.56 | $4,775.14 |
+$206.36 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.7d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 12:00am ET | $95,089.00 | 0 | $4,775.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 19, 2026 11:40pm ET | $92,211.00 | 0 | $4,630.61 | $4,607.10 |
$-168.04 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 19, 2026 11:55pm ET | $92,065.00 | 0 | $4,607.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 2:35pm ET | $89,289.00 | 0 | $4,468.18 | $4,445.49 |
$-161.60 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 5:30pm ET | $88,221.00 | 0 | $4,445.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $85,205.19 | 0 | $4,293.52 | $4,271.68 |
$-173.82 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.7d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:15am ET | $85,378.93 | 0 | $4,271.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 8:35pm ET | $82,769.77 | 0 | $4,141.14 | $4,120.10 |
$-151.57 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 8:40pm ET | $81,899.82 | 0 | $4,120.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 12:05pm ET | $79,357.65 | 0 | $3,992.22 | $3,971.93 |
$-148.17 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET | $78,722.21 | 0 | $3,971.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 1, 2026 6:05pm ET | $75,923.85 | 0 | $3,830.74 | $3,811.24 |
$-160.70 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 1, 2026 9:30pm ET | $76,826.75 | 0 | $3,811.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:25pm ET | $74,012.30 | 0 | $3,671.62 | $3,652.91 |
$-158.33 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 1:30pm ET | $74,158.07 | 0 | $3,652.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:45pm ET | $71,746.89 | 0 | $3,534.14 | $3,516.17 |
$-136.74 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:45pm ET | $71,324.00 | 0 | $3,516.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:20am ET | $69,076.00 | 0 | $3,405.35 | $3,388.04 |
$-128.13 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $67,872.75 | 0 | $3,388.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:15pm ET | $65,677.00 | 0 | $3,278.44 | $3,261.77 |
$-126.27 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 1:30pm ET | $65,466.00 | 0 | $3,261.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:45pm ET | $63,136.26 | 0 | $3,145.69 | $3,129.68 |
$-132.10 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:50pm ET | $62,412.00 | 0 | $3,129.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $60,285.00 | 0 | $3,023.02 | $3,007.63 |
$-122.04 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET | $60,008.81 | 0 | $3,007.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET | $63,112.00 | 0 | $3,163.17 | $3,147.74 |
+$140.10 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:50pm ET | $63,864.96 | 0 | $3,147.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 8:15am ET | $67,144.00 | 0 | $3,309.35 | $3,293.21 |
+$145.47 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 7:00pm ET | $70,206.90 | 0 | $3,293.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 7, 2026 2:10am ET | $67,902.55 | 0 | $3,185.12 | $3,168.93 |
$-124.29 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.2h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2026 2:15am ET | $67,760.46 | 0 | $3,168.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 8, 2026 7:55am ET | $71,189.87 | 0 | $3,329.31 | $3,313.06 |
+$144.14 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 8, 2026 11:45am ET | $70,359.01 | 0 | $3,313.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:40am ET | $69,331.97 | 0 | $3,264.70 | $3,248.26 |
$-64.81 (-1.5%) |
📅 Sim Ended
1.5d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 12:45am ET | $69,234.61 | 0 | $3,248.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 1:05am ET | $67,074.91 | 0 | $3,146.93 | $3,146.93 |
$-117.31 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$3,146.93
Net Profit/Loss:
$-6,853.07
Total Return:
-68.53%