Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:26:55

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
+0.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.3/35
Total Return
15.4/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 33.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 32.9

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.9%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$19,535.44
Current Value
$17,012.98
Period P&L
$-2,522.48
Max Drawdown
-29.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.41

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
2 / 7
Best Trade
+5.11%
Worst Trade
-3.52%
Avg Trade Return
-1.42%
Avg Hold Time
8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$323,285.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,522.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,522.48
Gross Return
-12.91%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 C Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $19,535.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 2:20pm ET $145.33 133 $19,328.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $140.42 133 $18,675.21 $18,794.00 $-653.68
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $139.93 134 $18,750.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 11:35am ET $135.45 134 $18,150.30 $18,193.68 $-600.32
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:55am ET $132.06 137 $18,092.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $127.40 137 $17,454.48 $17,555.95 $-637.73
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 1:00pm ET $129.62 135 $17,498.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 10:15am ET $136.24 135 $18,392.39 $18,449.64 +$893.69
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 2:45pm ET $138.23 133 $18,383.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $133.89 133 $17,807.37 $17,873.08 $-576.56
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 12:20pm ET $135.29 132 $17,858.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $131.21 132 $17,319.75 $17,334.53 $-538.55
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $131.34 131 $17,205.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:50am ET $138.01 131 $18,079.31 $18,208.30 +$873.77
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:20pm ET $137.58 132 $18,160.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 1:45pm ET $133.04 132 $17,561.94 $17,609.68 $-598.62
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $135.24 130 $17,581.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 10:05am ET $130.65 130 $16,984.50 $17,012.98 $-596.70
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,012.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,012.98
Total Return: +70.13%
Back to Marcus Reversal